{"id":8111,"date":"2025-01-10T09:32:26","date_gmt":"2025-01-10T09:32:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/?p=8111"},"modified":"2025-01-10T09:32:29","modified_gmt":"2025-01-10T09:32:29","slug":"scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-wild-card","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-wild-card","title":{"rendered":"Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Wild Card Weekend and Super Bowl 59 Pick"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>It\u2019s playoff time in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\">NFL<\/a> as wild card weekend features six games that we already previewed for both the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2024-afc-wild-card-preview\">AFC<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2024-nfc-wild-card-preview\">NFC<\/a>. Be sure to read those for more insight on why our NFL picks are what they are this week, and what combination of playoff results I like for the Super Bowl is revealed below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In recapping <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-18\">our Week 18 picks<\/a>, Mike Evans and Aaron Rodgers both came through with their teams. But Russell Wilson ran a horrible two-minute drill, Jahmyr Gibbs hogged all the touchdowns in Detroit, the Chiefs\u2019 backups didn\u2019t even try to beat Denver, and the Packers lost to the Bears for the first time since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Each Friday, we will share seven NFL picks that we are including in our bets for the weekend. These can be prop picks, spreads, totals, alternate lines, moneylines, teasers, same game parlays, etc. We like to think outside the box instead of just telling you to play the moneyline of big favorites. <strong>You can play any of the picks as singles or parlay your favorite choices together.<\/strong> I <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ScottKacsmar\/status\/1852131643441508511\">do tweet winners<\/a> from time to time before island games kick off, by the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Picks are ranked in order of confidence (highest to lowest).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-rank-math-toc-block\" id=\"rank-math-toc\"><h2>Table of Contents<\/h2><nav><ul><li><a href=\"#1-steelers-at-ravens-lamars-revenge-tour-begins\">1. Steelers at Ravens: Lamar\u2019s Revenge Tour Begins<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#2-broncos-at-bills-bo-knows-playoffs\">2. Broncos at Bills: Bo Knows Playoffs<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#3-chargers-at-texans-thats-a-good-ladd\">3. Chargers at Texans: That\u2019s a Good Ladd<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#4-vikings-at-rams-sams-safety-valve\">4. Vikings at Rams: Sam&#8217;s Safety Valve<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#5-packers-at-eagles-philly-sweep-parlay\">5. Packers at Eagles: Philly Sweep Parlay<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#6-commanders-at-buccaneers-have-it-your-way-with-nfl-picks\">6. Commanders at Buccaneers: Have It YourWay with NFL Picks<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#7-super-wild-card-parlay-for-scorers\">7. Super Wild Card Parlay for Scorers<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#bonus-super-bowl-lix-pick\">Bonus: Super Bowl LIX Pick<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"1-steelers-at-ravens-lamars-revenge-tour-begins\"><strong>1. Steelers at Ravens: Lamar\u2019s Revenge Tour Begins<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Everyone knows that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/lamar-jackson-63413\">Lamar Jackson<\/a> is 2-4 in the playoffs with suboptimal statistics. He\u2019s also 2-4 as a starter with very similar numbers against the Steelers in his career. Mix the Steelers and playoffs together, throw in a Zay Flowers\u2019 knee injury that will keep Baltimore\u2019s first Pro Bowl wideout sidelined, and you might have the ingredients for an upset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But not so fast. The Steelers are their own special kind of awful in the playoffs, and they\u2019re worse than what the Ravens have been under Lamar. Mike Tomlin has lost his last five playoff games, allowing at least 31 points each time, which is an NFL playoff record. No other team\u2019s had more than three straight playoff games doing that. Tomlin\u2019s defense also gets very few sacks or turnovers in these games while the offense provides plenty of both.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m not sure the Ravens will score 31 to continue this streak, which is why my best bet for the game is the spread and for the Ravens to win by double digits. The Steelers have lost four in a row, have played a lot of poor football, and they already lost 34-17 in Baltimore in Week 16 with Jackson playing well to already show that he can get it done against the Steelers. Pittsburgh also had no answers for Derrick Henry that day, and that\u2019s a new element to this Baltimore offense for the playoffs they didn\u2019t have before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s not also forget that Russell Wilson played his worst game this season at home against the Ravens despite the Steelers getting the win. He couldn\u2019t find the end zone once, and when he tried, he threw a red zone pick. He also had a couple of really bad turnovers in Week 16, including a pick-six against this defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Baltimore defense is also No. 1 in points allowed since that Week 11 meeting. They weren\u2019t good to start the year, but they are back on track. Look for Pittsburgh\u2019s playoff losing streak to continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Ravens -9.5 (-115 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-widget-type=\"predictions\" data-entity-type=\"game\" data-widget-id=\"0.yn00sjgxel\" data-lang=\"en-US\" data-entity-id=\"4336939\" data-publisher-id=\"125\" data-show-odds=\"true\" data-live-mode=\"true\" data-hide-powered-by=\"true\"><\/div>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/widgets.365scores.com\/main.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"2-broncos-at-bills-bo-knows-playoffs\"><strong>2. Broncos at Bills: Bo Knows Playoffs<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Guess who leads the NFL in touchdown passes over the last seven games. If you said Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, or Jared Goff, you\u2019d be wrong. Joe Burrow is technically right with 19, but he\u2019s tied with rookie <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/bo-nix-118300\">Bo Nix<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s been quite the turnaround for the rookie who didn\u2019t throw a touchdown in his first three games this season despite 113 throws. But coach Sean Payton is cooking with his mobile version of Drew Brees, who doesn\u2019t always pass the eye test with his accuracy, but Nix is putting up points and has the Broncos in the playoffs for the first time since 2015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nix has 10 games this season with multiple touchdown passes, which ties Justin Herbert (2020) for the rookie record. Nix has done it in seven of his last eight games too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I get that the history of rookie quarterbacks on the road in the playoffs isn\u2019t great, but Payton is a veteran coach, and the Broncos are playing well offensively. There\u2019s also the fact that Buffalo\u2019s defense isn\u2019t elite this year, it\u2019s allowed 28 touchdowns, and even someone like rookie Drake Maye threw 2 touchdown passes in Week 16 in his first game against Buffalo with less talent and worse coaching around him. The moment wasn\u2019t too big for him in Buffalo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nix could always implode in the biggest game of his young career, but I\u2019m going to take the value that he throws two touchdowns and gives his team a shot on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Bo Nix Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+142 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2192557789-1-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"Bo Nix  of the Denver Broncos\" class=\"wp-image-8112\" style=\"width:843px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2192557789-1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2192557789-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2192557789-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2192557789-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2192557789-1-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(Photo by Matthew Stockman\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"3-chargers-at-texans-thats-a-good-ladd\"><strong>3. Chargers at Texans: That\u2019s a Good Ladd<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chargers finished this season strong offensively with Justin Herbert really looking good with his new receivers. But Ladd McConkey has emerged as an excellent No. 1 weapon after the team moved up to take him in the second round of a loaded draft class at the position.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>McConkey finished with 82 catches for 1,149 yards. His consistency is the best part as he\u2019s had at least 50 yards in the last 10 games, and he\u2019s gone over his line this week (73.5 yards) seven times, including in his last three games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Texans have a great pass rush, but if you can block it, they are vulnerable in the secondary. McConkey is going to eat in his first playoff game, and it would be a surprise if he didn\u2019t go over his line here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the other reason to like the Chargers to win as part of our player performance double pick here is their No. 1 scoring defense. They get a great matchup with a Houston offense that is struggling in the wake of multiple receiver injuries and a porous offensive line. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/los-angeles-chargers-6673\">Chargers<\/a> have not allowed more than 20 points in any road game this year, an impressive feat given they\u2019ve played nine road games under the new schedule format.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trust Jim Harbaugh to get Justin Herbert his first playoff win with McConkey contributing a lot to the win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Ladd McConkey Over 73.5 Receiving Yards &amp; Chargers ML (+180 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-widget-type=\"predictions\" data-entity-type=\"game\" data-widget-id=\"0.n6mn2dsicz9\" data-lang=\"en-US\" data-entity-id=\"4336938\" data-publisher-id=\"125\" data-show-odds=\"true\" data-live-mode=\"true\" data-hide-powered-by=\"true\"><\/div>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/widgets.365scores.com\/main.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"4-vikings-at-rams-sams-safety-valve\"><strong>4. Vikings at Rams: Sam&#8217;s Safety Valve<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This game has actually been moved to Arizona\u2019s stadium from Los Angeles because of the destructive fires. The spread has gone another point in Minnesota\u2019s favor as the Vikings try to recover from last week\u2019s crushing 31-9 loss in Detroit with the No. 1 seed on the line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Could the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/los-angeles-rams-6669\">Rams<\/a> try to play more man coverage to copy some of the things the Lions had success with? We\u2019ll see, but some of their success at slowing down Sam Darnold last time was his left tackle (Christian Darrisaw) going down with a season-ending injury in the game. Hopefully, the Vikings won\u2019t have to deal with anything like that this time, and they were shredding the Rams to start the game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I think a good way for Darnold to feel comfortable in his first real playoff game is to get easy passes to running back Aaron Jones whether it\u2019s a screen or checkdown to the flat. Jones has had at least 20 receiving yards in four straight games, and in all six NFC North games this year, he had over 20 receiving yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jones had 37 yards on 2 catches against the Rams in Week 8, so hopefully that rematch trend will hold true outside of the division too and he\u2019ll come through with 20 yards through the air.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But I\u2019m also going to trust Brian Flores\u2019 defense to get a takeaway as they have every week, and Matthew Stafford hasn\u2019t led the Rams to 20 points in three straight games. Maybe the team under (22.5) on the Rams is the better call here than the Minnesota moneyline, but I\u2019m going to put my trust in the 14-win team figuring it out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They also won\u2019t be caught off guard by Puka Nacua playing this week like last time. You can\u2019t miss that guy. He catches everything in this offense. But they also haven\u2019t been getting other players involved lately, and it\u2019s hard to see Stafford having as much success as he did in Week 8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Also, if there\u2019s a crazy facemask that\u2019s so obvious this time, maybe the refs will call it for Minnesota for a change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Aaron Jones Over 19.5 Receiving Yards &amp; Vikings ML (+198 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-widget-type=\"predictions\" data-entity-type=\"game\" data-widget-id=\"0.a72usgmmyln\" data-lang=\"en-US\" data-entity-id=\"4337110\" data-publisher-id=\"125\" data-show-odds=\"true\" data-live-mode=\"true\" data-hide-powered-by=\"true\"><\/div>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/widgets.365scores.com\/main.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"5-packers-at-eagles-philly-sweep-parlay\"><strong>5. Packers at Eagles: Philly Sweep Parlay<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We have a 4-leg parlay that is partial to the Eagles pulling off the sweep of the Packers after these teams played a 34-29 shootout in Brazil to open the season. Expect more defense this time around, and both quarterbacks are coming back from an injury late in the season, but it should still see some offensive stars shine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Saquon Barkley Anytime Touchdown Scorer<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A.J. Brown 50+ Receiving Yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Josh Jacobs 50+ Rushing Yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Eagles ML<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The first pick is self-explanatory as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/saquon-barkley-63744\">Saquon Barkley<\/a> had two touchdown runs in Week 1 in his Philadelphia debut. Maybe the Eagles will be mindful of Jalen Hurts returning from a concussion and not go Tush Push that much, especially at the goal line. Let Barkley get the short ones this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A.J. Brown had 119 yards in Week 1, the Packers won\u2019t have corner Jaire Alexander again, and Brown usually produces. He\u2019s only been held under 65 yards three times this year, so we feel very comfortable throwing him a 50-piece.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Speaking of which, this game should be a chance for Josh Jacobs to remind us that Saquon and Derrick Henry weren\u2019t the only veteran backs to change teams for the better. Jacobs had 84 yards in Brazil against these Eagles, and he\u2019s hit 50 yards in all but three games this year. With Jordan Love\u2019s elbow injury, they may need to lean a little more on Jacobs here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But between that elbow injury and the talent advantages the Eagles have at home, I like the Eagles to sweep Green Bay and get the win here. They are just a little better on both sides of the ball, and it\u2019s hard to trust the Packers after the way they\u2019ve played in big games this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Saquon Barkley Anytime Touchdown Scorer &amp; A.J. Brown 50+ Receiving Yards &amp; Josh Jacobs 50+ Rushing Yards &amp; Eagles ML (+273 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GettyImages-2191426513-2-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\" Saquon Barkley of the Philadelphia Eagles \" class=\"wp-image-7989\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GettyImages-2191426513-2-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GettyImages-2191426513-2-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GettyImages-2191426513-2-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GettyImages-2191426513-2-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/GettyImages-2191426513-2-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"> (Photo by Scott Taetsch\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"6-commanders-at-buccaneers-have-it-your-way-with-nfl-picks\"><strong>6. Commanders at Buccaneers: Have It YourWay with NFL Picks<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Our next pick is a 5-leg parlay using the YourWay feature at FanDuel. If you don\u2019t have access to that, you should still be able to make an SGP out of these picks outside of maybe the first one. We\u2019re expecting the Bucs to make it difficult on rookie Jayden Daniels and force him into being a one-man show again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Jayden Daniels to record more rushing yards than Brian Robinson Jr.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jayden Daniels 49+ Rushing Yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Zach Ertz 3+ Receptions<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jalen McMillan 3+ Receptions<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Baker Mayfield 2+ Passing Touchdowns<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>If not for Lamar Jackson, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/jayden-daniels-118200\">Jayden Daniels<\/a> would be getting a lot more attention for one of the best dual-threat quarterback seasons in NFL history, and he did it as a rookie. Daniels threw for 3,568 yards and ran for 891 yards \u2013 numbers that only Jackson topped this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Daniels led his team in rushing with those 891 yards, which is very impressive. On the other hand, it\u2019s not a great thing since too often against better competition his running game didn\u2019t deliver, so he was trying to win as a one-man show. We saw it back in Week 1 in his debut in Tampa Bay. Daniels ran it 16 times for 88 yards while Brian Robinson Jr. had 12 carries for 40 yards. That\u2019s not ideal and the Commanders lost by 17 points. This has happened a few other times this year with Daniels being the leading rusher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think it happens again in this game. Daniels will rush for 49+ yards, outrush Robinson Jr. to lead the team, and we\u2019ll see if it produces a better result on the scoreboard with more experience under Daniels\u2019 belt. But I also like him to get three completions to tight end Zach Ertz, his safety blanket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jalen McMillan has been hot for Tampa Bay with 5 catches in four straight games, so you could tease that number even higher than 3 catches if you want. Washington isn\u2019t great in the secondary by any stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, Baker Mayfield is on fire this year with 41 touchdown passes. He had four in Week 1 against Washington, and I like him to have another game with multiple scoring tosses at home. He\u2019s also 2-0 in wild-card playoff games with three touchdowns in each of those games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Jayden Daniels to Outrush Brian Robinson Jr. &amp; Jayden Daniels 49+ Rushing Yards &amp; Zach Ertz 3+ Receptions &amp; Jalen McMillan 3+ Receptions &amp; Baker Mayfield 2+ Passing Touchdowns (+491 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2181403218-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"Jayden Daniels of the Washington Commanders \" class=\"wp-image-8095\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2181403218-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2181403218-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2181403218-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2181403218-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/GettyImages-2181403218-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"> (Photo by Scott Taetsch\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"7-super-wild-card-parlay-for-scorers\"><strong>7. Super Wild Card Parlay for Scorers<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Putting all the research this week together, we have a 5-leg parlay (Monday night excluded) with over +15000 odds for a variety of players we like to target this weekend:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Ladd McConkey Anytime Touchdown Scorer<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown Scorer<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Broncos &amp; Bills Both Score 20+ Points<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Saquon Barkley 2+ Touchdowns<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jalen McMillan Anytime Touchdown Scorer<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Mentioned the advantages Ladd McConkey should have in Houston in the first pick above. But the Houston defense has a bad habit of giving up yardage and a touchdown to receivers this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston has allowed 21 receivers to gain at least 59 receiving yards, and 17 of those players (81.0%) scored at least one touchdown in that game too. Calvin Ridley did it twice without a touchdown, proving once again he is the worst player to bet on in the NFL. But I like McConkey to score in his playoff debut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With Zay Flowers out, Mark Andrews is even more enticing than he already is for Lamar Jackson as his most reliable target. Andrews has a career-high 11 touchdowns this year, and he\u2019s been automatic with a score in six straight games, including at home against the Steelers. Andrews has never caught a touchdown in six playoff games where he\u2019s also been criticized like his quarterback. Let\u2019s see them end that drought together with a score here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Going to Buffalo, the Bills (235) and Broncos (228) lead the NFL in scoring over the last seven games. You probably didn\u2019t expect that with Denver, but the Broncos have scored at least 24 points in seven straight games, tied for the second-longest streak in franchise history. We already mentioned how we like Bo Nix to throw a pair of touchdowns against a mediocre Buffalo defense, but I think both teams get to 20 points here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, if you look at the last 16 teams to enter the playoffs on a streak of at least seven games scoring 24 points, 14 of them scored at least 20 in the first playoff game. Only the 2021 Packers and 2008 Panthers choked at home in divisional round games. I\u2019ll take my chances on this one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Feel free to tease Saquon Barkley down to one touchdown or substitute him with something from above, but we feel pretty good about this one, which is what\u2019s making the odds shoot up. But between the concussion angle with Hurts and the fact that Barkley scored two touchdowns in his only playoff game with the Giants and he scored two touchdowns in Brazil against the Packers, it just feels right.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, Tampa Bay\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/jalen-mcmillan-119392\">Jalen McMillan<\/a> is another player who scored a touchdown in his first NFL game in Week 1 against the Commanders. He didn\u2019t score again until December, but he\u2019s earned Baker Mayfield\u2019s trust, and he\u2019s scored in five straight games. Maybe the Commanders will pay more attention to Mike Evans and McMillan can continue his streak here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Parlay \u2013 Ladd McConkey Anytime Touchdown Scorer &amp; Mark Andrews Anytime Touchdown Scorer &amp; Broncos &amp; Bills Both Score 20+ Points &amp; Saquon Barkley 2+ Touchdowns &amp; Jalen McMillan Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+15264 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bonus-super-bowl-lix-pick\"><strong>Bonus: Super Bowl LIX Pick<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, this is a good time to make a Super Bowl LIX pick right before the first playoff game. Our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2024-nfl-picks-super-bowl-lix-playoff-awards\">preseason pick<\/a> was taking the Packers to beat the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/kansas-city-chiefs-6764\">Chiefs<\/a>, but that\u2019s not looking too good right now with Green Bay as a No. 7 seed that can\u2019t beat the elite teams in 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think a battle of 15-2 teams, the Chiefs and Lions, would make a lot of sense. Teams that win 15 games have an impressive track record of getting to the Super Bowl, so it would be surprising if neither got there, and it\u2019s +480 at FanDuel to bet both No. 1 seeds make it to New Orleans in February. You can get it at +486 if you select each team from the conference winner tab.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Getting a rematch of the quarterbacks from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/boxscores\/201811190ram.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2018\u2019s 54-51 game<\/a> would be an ideal way to close this season. The three-peat going up against the NFL\u2019s most lovable losers from Detroit finally on the brink of Super Bowl glory. The stories write themselves for that one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Super Bowl Pick: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Detroit Lions (+480 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2024-afc-wild-card-preview\">2024 AFC Wild Card Preview: Something Must Give When Lamar Jackson\u2019s Offense Meets Mike Tomlin\u2019s Defense<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2024-nfc-wild-card-preview\">2024 NFC Wild Card Preview: Will It Be Sweeps for Eagles, Buccaneers, and Rams?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2024-nfl-final-quarterback-rankings\">2024 NFL Final Quarterback Rankings: Yes, Lamar Jackson Deserves This MVP<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-18\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 18<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-17\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 17<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-16\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 16<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-15\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 15<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-14\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 14<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-13\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 13<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-13-thanksgiving\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 13 Thanksgiving and Black Friday Special<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-12\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 12<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-11\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 11<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-10\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 10<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-9\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 9<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-8\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 8<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-7\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 7<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-6\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 6<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-5\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 5<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-4\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 4<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-3\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 3<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-2\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 2<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-2024-week-1\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 1<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2024-nfl-picks-super-bowl-lix-playoff-awards\">2024 NFL Season Picks: Super Bowl LIX, Playoff Teams, and Award Winners<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s playoff time in the NFL as wild card weekend features six games that we already previewed for both the AFC and NFC. Be sure to read those for more insight on why our NFL picks are what they are this week, and what combination of playoff results I like for the Super Bowl is &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":8113,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[347,482,351,348,443,439,358,410,1925,344,401,47,398,973,611,350,414,975,48,356,400,697],"class_list":["post-8111","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-bills","tag-bo-nix","tag-broncos","tag-buccaneers","tag-chargers","tag-chiefs","tag-commanders","tag-eagles","tag-ladd-mcconkey","tag-lamar-jackson","tag-lions","tag-nfl","tag-packers","tag-playoffs","tag-rams","tag-ravens","tag-saquon-barkley","tag-steelers","tag-super-bowl","tag-texans","tag-vikings","tag-wild-card"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8111","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8111"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8111\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8113"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8111"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8111"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8111"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}