{"id":13794,"date":"2025-12-02T10:49:05","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T10:49:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/?p=13794"},"modified":"2025-12-02T11:40:41","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T11:40:41","slug":"super-bowl-contenders-pretenders-2025-nfl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/super-bowl-contenders-pretenders-2025-nfl","title":{"rendered":"Who Are the Super Bowl Contenders and Pretenders in This Wild 2025 NFL Season?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The 2025 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\">NFL<\/a> season has moved into December, and it has been a wild 13 weeks with plenty of surprises from Super Bowl contenders struggling to some new blood in the AFC trying to turn the clock back a decade when the Patriots, Colts, and Broncos were among the most relevant teams. That\u2019s a notable departure from the usual suspects in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/kansas-city-chiefs-6764\">Chiefs<\/a>, Bills, and Ravens, who are not guaranteed a single division title between them this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Not to be outdone, the NFC is currently led by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/teams\/chi\/2025.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Chicago Bears<\/a> (9-3) in the No. 1 seed position a year after they finished 5-12, so that\u2019s another big story as the Philadelphia Eagles\u2019 title defense has been heavily criticized each week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>But the overarching story of this 2025 NFL season has been the way last year\u2019s best teams and this year\u2019s Super Bowl favorites have by and large struggled as a group<\/strong>. Much of this came to a head in Week 13 when we saw the Lions, Chiefs, Ravens, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/philadelphia-eagles-6671\">Eagles<\/a> all lose as favorites on Thanksgiving and Black Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, the Patriots and Broncos have both won 10 games in a row, remarkable streaks for teams who started the year 1-2. Throw in the Bears going 9-1 since an 0-2 start, and you have some very unlikely names vying for the No. 1 seeds. Think coaching doesn\u2019t matter? Should the Bears and Patriots finish No. 1, it\u2019d be the first time since the 1981 Bengals and 49ers where both No. 1 seeds had losing records the previous year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alas, we have five weeks to go before that is decided, but it sure is getting interesting as these teams keep winning while the preseason favorites seem to be getting worse at the moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The NFL is no stranger to yearly fluctuation at the top with teams falling off quickly and new contenders emerging. The draft, salary cap, and schedule rotation basically encourages a level of parity. Maybe we\u2019ve actually experienced too much consistent winning with six of 2024\u2019s eight division winners being teams who won the division in 2023 too, including every AFC division winner, and a 4-year run for Tampa Bay and 2-year run for Detroit. Maybe this is just regression to the mean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/drake-maye-patriots-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"TAMPA, FLORIDA - NOVEMBER 9: Drake Maye #10 of the New England Patriots prepares to throw during the fourth quarter of an NFL football game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on November 9, 2025 in Tampa, Florida. \" class=\"wp-image-13824\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/drake-maye-patriots-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/drake-maye-patriots-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/drake-maye-patriots-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/drake-maye-patriots-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/drake-maye-patriots-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(Photo by Kevin Sabitus\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>But it is bordering on historic to see this many top teams fall off at the same time. To be fair, we\u2019re only going into Week 14, almost nothing has been clinched, and for all we know it could be a Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl in February after a No. 7 at No. 5 AFC Championship Game between the Bills and Chiefs. Probably not, but it\u2019s still technically possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, we thought this was a good time to look at why so many teams we expected to be the best aren\u2019t right now, and which of these new contenders we should really buy into.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, and Bo Nix are 29-1 in their last 30 starts after their teams started 1-6.<br><br>Changing of the guard or just that weird 2025 season where three 2nd-year QBs went on crazy winning streaks?<\/p>&mdash; Scott Kacsmar (@ScottKacsmar) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ScottKacsmar\/status\/1995796158346653701?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">December 2, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-rank-math-toc-block\" id=\"rank-math-toc\"><h2>Table of Contents<\/h2><nav><ul><li><a href=\"#are-we-experiencing-a-historic-changing-of-the-guard-in-the-nfl-this-year\">Are We Experiencing a Historic Changing of the Guard in the NFL This Year?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#what-is-happening-in-this-2025-nfl-season\">What Is Happening in This 2025 NFL Season?<\/a><ul><li><a href=\"#why-the-kansas-city-chiefs-are-about-to-lose-the-afc-west-throne-to-the-denver-broncos\">Why the Kansas City Chiefs Are About to Lose the AFC West Throne to the Denver Broncos<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#the-easy-schedule-for-the-afc-east-that-buffalo-was-supposed-to-capitalize-on-is-going-new-englands-way\">The Easy Schedule for the AFC East That Buffalo Was Supposed to Capitalize on Is Going New England\u2019s Way<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#the-baltimore-ravens-are-fumbling-the-moment\">The Baltimore Ravens Are Fumbling the Moment<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#the-houston-texans-are-trying-to-lead-with-defense-to-recapture-afc-south-from-pesky-colts-jaguars\">The Houston Texans Are Trying to Lead with Defense to Recapture AFC South from Pesky Colts, Jaguars<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#the-philadelphia-eagles-repeat-2023-or-2024-in-a-crowded-nfc\">The Philadelphia Eagles Repeat: 2023 or 2024 in a Crowded NFC?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li><a href=\"#conclusion-what-does-it-all-lead-to\">Conclusion: What Does It All Lead to?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"are-we-experiencing-a-historic-changing-of-the-guard-in-the-nfl-this-year\">Are We Experiencing a Historic Changing of the Guard in the NFL This Year?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The truest marker of greatness in the NFL is sustaining it over multiple seasons. That\u2019s why so few can pull it off because few are that great. You usually need the right people at quarterback and head coach, and a competent defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the way this game works, you could have a team who takes advantage of an easy schedule, a fortunate run of winning the turnover battles, and pulling out several more close games than they lose in a season. That can produce a great record, though the teams who capitalize on those things usually don\u2019t fare well in the playoffs, and when the regression to the mean hits the next year in those areas, we see them fall back to .500 or worse, an afterthought again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s not uncommon for an NFL team to be a one-year wonder, a flash in the pan, who fades away as quickly as they broke onto the stage. Think of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/teams\/cle\/2020.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2020 Cleveland Browns<\/a> (11-5), who won a playoff game in Kevin Stefanski\u2019s rookie season with Baker Mayfield winning some wild shootouts, then they were 8-9 a year later and didn\u2019t have another winning season until 2023 with many new players in place.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You could also think of Case Keenum\u2019s miracle season with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/teams\/min\/2017.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2017 Vikings<\/a>, Brian Daboll winning Coach of the Year for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/teams\/nyg\/2022.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2022 Giants<\/a> because of a ton of close wins in a 6-1 start, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/teams\/chi\/2001.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2001 Bears<\/a> getting absurd turnovers to win games on the way to a 13-3 season, or Robert Griffin III\u2019s rookie season with the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/teams\/was\/2012.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2012 Redskins<\/a> before his injury in the playoffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The teams we expect to see continue winning are those teams like the Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, and Eagles who have a proven track record of 4-plus years of success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Yet, if you look at the nine teams who won at least 11 games in 2024, most of them have either already lost more games than they did last year or are on track to do so<\/strong>. Very few have actually sustained or improved their success last year:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>2024-25 Chiefs<\/strong>: From 15-2 to 6-6, the Chiefs are only +104 to make the playoffs via FanDuel odds.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2024-25 Lions<\/strong>: From 15-2 to 7-5, the Lions are only +130 to make the playoffs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2024-25 Eagles<\/strong>: From 14-3 to 8-4, the Eagles are tied for the third-best Super Bowl odds (+900) in the NFC and have already lost more games than they did last year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2024-25 Vikings<\/strong>: From 14-3 to 4-8, the Vikings dumped Sam Darnold for the unholy trio of J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer at the most important position.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2024-25 Bills<\/strong>: From 13-4 to 8-4, the Bills have already lost more games with Josh Allen playing the distance than they did last year when he was named MVP.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2024-25 Ravens<\/strong>: From 12-5 to 6-6, the Ravens have already lost more games than last year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2024-25 Commanders<\/strong>: From 12-5 to 3-9, the Commanders are an afterthought going into December after reaching the NFC Championship Game last year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2024-25 Chargers<\/strong>: From 11-6 to 8-4, the Chargers are trying to hang onto a wild card spot in Jim Harbaugh\u2019s second year.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>2024-25 Packers<\/strong>: From 11-6 to 8-3-1, the Packers look to be the only team in this group that\u2019s playing better this year thanks in large part to the Micah Parsons trade helping them sweep Detroit. Still lost to the Browns and Panthers as big favorites but that\u2019s 2025 for ya.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>To put some numbers to this, if you took every NFL team with 11-plus wins since realignment in 2002 and compared them to how they did the following season, then they decline by an average of 2.6 wins, or 16.2 percentage points in winning percentage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The nine 2024 teams who won at least 11 games had a collective winning percentage of .765. Right now, those teams are collectively 58-49-1 (.542), so that\u2019s a decline of 22.3 points in win percentage. That\u2019d be the second-largest decline in the 32-team era after 2007-08 (-27.1).<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What changed so much from 2007 to 2008? A year after going 16-0, Tom Brady tore his ACL in Week 1, and the Patriots finished 11-5. Brett Favre also retired in Green Bay (before returning to the 2008 Jets), and behind a young Aaron Rodgers, the Packers went from 13-3 to 6-10 after losing a ton of close games. Those two examples had a lot to do with that decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For this year, a couple of declines are obvious. For as fast as Jayden Daniels (Commanders) and Sam Darnold (Vikings) helped their teams overachieve in 2024, Darnold\u2019s departure and Daniels\u2019 injuries in 2025 are leaving those teams in the dust during bad seasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2194142414-1-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"TAMPA, FLORIDA - JANUARY 12: Jayden Daniels #5 of the Washington Commanders smiles after an NFL football wild card playoff game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on January 12, 2025 in Tampa, Florida.\" class=\"wp-image-13825\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2194142414-1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2194142414-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2194142414-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2194142414-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2194142414-1-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"> (Photo by Kevin Sabitus\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>But it gets a little more complicated when you talk about the Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, Chargers, and Eagles. These five teams were specifically covered here in March when we <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/nfl-turnover-regression-in-2025\">talked about turnover regression<\/a> and how that could negatively affect them in 2025 since so much of their success last year was built on protecting the ball and\/or recovering a lot of fumbles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Buffalo was expected to get hit the hardest here after going +24 in turnover differential, including an absurd +17 in fumble recoveries including the playoffs. This year, the Bills are minus-2 in turnovers, neutral on fumbles, and they\u2019ve turned the ball over 11 times in their last four games alone after 8 giveaways in 20 games all of last season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>You saw the Ravens turn the ball over five times on Thanksgiving against the Bengals a year after the offense had just 11 giveaways and Lamar Jackson threw four interceptions.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Justin Herbert has already thrown 10 interceptions this season after he had 3 last regular season.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The 2025 Eagles are +5 in turnovers after they were +12 in the postseason alone on their way to winning the Super Bowl. They have not had a game where they forced at least 3 turnovers yet after doing so three times in their playoff run.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Turnovers are low on both sides of the ball for the Chiefs (8 giveaways, 10 takeaways), but they\u2019ve had some killer turnovers in the red zone in losses to the Eagles, Jaguars, and Broncos.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Still five games to go, but it\u2019s possible the seven teams who won at least 12 games last year don\u2019t get there this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"what-is-happening-in-this-2025-nfl-season\">What Is Happening in This 2025 NFL Season?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the following sections, we\u2019re going to look at why each AFC division has been turned upside down, and a general look at the tight NFC race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"why-the-kansas-city-chiefs-are-about-to-lose-the-afc-west-throne-to-the-denver-broncos\">Why the Kansas City Chiefs Are About to Lose the AFC West Throne to the Denver Broncos<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>As always, let\u2019s keep it real about the Chiefs. They\u2019re the posterboys for \u201cfalling off\u201d this year even if we can debate we\u2019re seeing the worst results from the Chiefs, Ravens, and Bills in several years. Never mind the Bills and Ravens had higher Super Bowl odds <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/chiefs-2025-nfl-season-preview\">coming into the season<\/a> than Kansas City, who many were desperately picking to not make it to a fourth-straight Super Bowl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A lot of people have a vested interest in killing this dynasty after seven straight AFC Championship Games, nine straight AFC West titles, and a team that\u2019s been in 5-of-6 Super Bowls since 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The simplest explanation for why the Chiefs are 6-6 and in real danger of missing the playoffs is that they\u2019ve failed to execute in big moments against good opponents far too often in 2025.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019re not going to entertain a Super Bowl loss hangover or any <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/chiefs-nfl-referees-conspiracy\">absurd officiating conspiracy<\/a>. We could point out the six-game suspension for Rashee Rice or that Travis Kelce ran into Xavier Worthy on the first pass of the season, knocking him out for three weeks. But even then, they should have been better to start the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After going on a record 17-0 streak in 2023-24 in games decided by one score, the 2025 Chiefs are 1-6 in such games, losing six games by a combined 25 points to solid teams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That doesn\u2019t mean the Chiefs don\u2019t have some serious flaws in coaching with schematic failures and personnel decisions. But the fact is if some players would just step up in the big moments in these games like they have in past years, the Chiefs would be right there in the mix for the best record in the NFL again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By some raw stats, the Chiefs are performing better in 2025 than they have in 2023 and 2024. But here are some other stats to show why things haven\u2019t gone as well in the win-loss record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The offensive design has grown stale and Andy Reid has done a bad job of scheming open receivers for big plays for Patrick Mahomes. Maybe more than ever, the Chiefs are generating some great offensive numbers because of how well Mahomes has worked on broken plays (backyard football). This offense is No. 1 in yards per drive, No. 2 in points per drive, and Mahomes is No. 2 in QBR largely because of his scrambles for first downs and his desperation heaves down the field for big plays going back to Week 1 in Brazil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Mahomes is having one of the best seasons on extended dropbacks we&#39;ve seen in quite some time <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/sCDzMub0c5\">pic.twitter.com\/sCDzMub0c5<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Benjamin Solak (@BenjaminSolak) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BenjaminSolak\/status\/1995628579603054835?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">December 1, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">MAHOMES STAYED ON HIS FEET AND COMPLETED THE PASS<br><br>KCvsDAL on CBS\/Paramount+<br>Also streaming on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NFLPlus?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">@NFLPlus<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/dkrRaxz5hx\">pic.twitter.com\/dkrRaxz5hx<\/a><\/p>&mdash; NFL (@NFL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NFL\/status\/1994205384702366054?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November 28, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>But the problem with relying on Mahomes magic is it\u2019s led to a lack of consistency, rhythm, and identity for this offense. So, when it comes to those big plays before halftime or some huge spots in the red zone, they\u2019re struggling to score and make the crucial plays that swing games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, the offense is having its worst season of the Mahomes era on third down, converting just 41.3% of the time (ranked 10th in the league). Combine that with a defense that is ranked 26th on third down, allowing teams to convert 43.0% of the time (ranked 26th), and for the first time in the Mahomes era, the Chiefs are at a negative differential on third downs:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>2025: 41.3% converted, 43.0% allowed (-1.7% difference)<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2024: 48.5% converted, 43.3% allowed (+5.2% difference)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2018: 47.2% converted, 41.5% allowed (+5.7% difference)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2023: 43.6% converted, 37.1% allowed (+6.5% difference)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2020: 49.0% converted, 41.0% allowed (+8.0% difference)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2022: 48.7% converted, 38.3% allowed (+10.4% difference)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2019: 47.6% converted, 37.1% allowed (+10.5% difference)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2021: 52.2% converted, 40.2% allowed (+12.0% difference)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s been a down year for Chris Jones and the pass rush, and giving up crucial third-and-longs on defense in one-score games in the fourth quarter has been a big culprit in the team\u2019s underperforming record. Again, they don\u2019t make the critical plays enough this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Times the Chiefs have allowed a 3rd and 10+ to be converted in a one-score game in 4Q:<br><br>2025 &#8211; 4*<br>2024 &#8211; 0<br>2023 &#8211; 2<br>2022 &#8211; 3<br>2021 &#8211; 1 <br>2020 &#8211; 2<br>2019 &#8211; 1<br>2018 &#8211; 1<br><br>*Four thru Week 11:<br>\u2022 Herbert for 19 yds on 3rd &amp; 14<br>\u2022 Hurts to Smith for 28 yards<br>\u2022 Penalty in Jacksonville to\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/hHr9Z90s1q\">https:\/\/t.co\/hHr9Z90s1q<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Scott Kacsmar (@ScottKacsmar) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ScottKacsmar\/status\/1990235305593422195?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">November 17, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs are 3-0 with an 81-16 scoring differential against the three losing teams they\u2019ve faced (Giants, Raiders, Commanders). But they are just 3-6 against winning teams, and they are 0-5 on the road when they allow more than 20 points to winning teams as that\u2019s where the defense has been at its worst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The oddsmakers are giving the Chiefs about a coin flip of hope for making the playoffs as a wild card. The silver lining is that their road woes shouldn\u2019t hurt them against the Titans and Raiders, two of the worst teams this season and the only road games left for the Chiefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But they\u2019re likely going to have to run the table and go 3-0 at home against the Texans, Chargers, and Broncos. Those are strong defensive teams, and right off the bat they gave the No. 1 defense from Houston this Sunday night in a game where Mahomes may be missing multiple starting offensive linemen. Sounds like those Super Bowl losses again with a season on the line against elite pass rushes and multiple linemen out of position. Not good.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even if the Chiefs recover and extend their NFL record to a 13th season with a winning streak of at least five games, they almost certainly won\u2019t win the AFC West. That\u2019s because they have real competition this year from the Denver Broncos, who are close to being 12-0 despite playing in some of the uglier games this season like the 13-11 win in London against the Jets or the 10-7 win against the Raiders on a Thursday night. Even Sunday night was a 27-26 overtime battle with Marcus Maritoa and the Commanders that came down to a batted pass on the game-deciding two-point conversion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But that\u2019s the difference this year. The Broncos have made almost every clutch play and Bo Nix has already led six game-winning drives this season. They\u2019re doing things similar to how the 2024 Chiefs were 15-1, and they\u2019re doing it with a great pass rush.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2192581956-1-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"DENVER, CO - JANUARY 5:  Quarterback Bo Nix #10 of the Denver Broncos walks off the field after a 38-0 win against the Kansas City Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High on January 5, 2025 in Denver, Colorado. \" class=\"wp-image-13826\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2192581956-1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2192581956-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2192581956-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2192581956-1-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2192581956-1-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(Photo by Justin Edmonds\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2025 Broncos are the first team in NFL history to win 10 of their first 12 games after trailing in the 10 wins. They\u2019ve won seven of their last eight games by 1-to-4 points, and they already have comebacks against the Eagles and Chiefs, last year\u2019s Super Bowl teams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Broncos got a taste of the postseason last year when they ended their drought by getting in on the final weekend after beating the Chiefs\u2019 backups. They didn\u2019t last long after losing badly in Buffalo on wild card weekend, but they might be the No. 1 or No. 2 seed this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs\u2019 AFC West streak is essentially over as they trail by more than four games with just five games left. The reason the Patriots were able to win the AFC East for 11 straight years (2009-19) is they never had a team like this to deal with in the division. One that keeps winning almost every close game possible, and that\u2019s the value of a coach like Sean Payton changing the culture in Denver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s hard to take the Broncos seriously as a Super Bowl contender because of how close to the vest they play. But it\u2019s hard to argue that they\u2019ve made the plays when they had to against a similar tough schedule to the Chiefs, who they already beat and could possibly eliminate from the postseason in Week 17\u2019s rematch in Kansas City on Christmas night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>People fantasized for years how the AFC West was catching up to Kansas City. But it\u2019s finally happened in 2025, and it only took the least clutch Chiefs team and an all-time run of comebacks by Denver to make it happen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Forgive me if I\u2019m skeptical of this continuing in 2026, but the Chiefs have lost their right to be penciled in as the AFC West winner each year. Until they start showing they can consistently execute in the critical moments again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-easy-schedule-for-the-afc-east-that-buffalo-was-supposed-to-capitalize-on-is-going-new-englands-way\">The Easy Schedule for the AFC East That Buffalo Was Supposed to Capitalize on Is Going New England\u2019s Way<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>This was supposed to be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/bills-2025-nfl-season-preview\">Buffalo\u2019s year<\/a> as the Bills were favored for the most wins and the No. 1 seed in the AFC thanks to a schedule that hooked them up with home games against seemingly every contender (Ravens, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Bengals, Eagles, etc.) they have to face.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But lurking in the shadows were Mike Vrabel and the Patriots, who also had the easy schedule boost in the AFC East. Plus, the Patriots don\u2019t have to face the Chiefs, Texans, or Eagles. Instead, they get the Raiders, Titans, and Giants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Granted, they blew the Vegas game in Week 1, but it\u2019s been almost all smooth sailings ever since as Vrabel and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels have put second-year quarterback Drake Maye in a great situation to thrive and be part of the MVP discussion. In fact, Maye\u2019s MVP case might even be stronger than Allen\u2019s was last year, which is not a good sign for the long-term prospects of the Bills owning the AFC East after a 5-year reign that started after the demise of the New England dynasty. Maye literally is their version of Allen as the team hoped for all along.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the Patriots are 11-2, and Maye was able to deliver his only game-winning drive of his career in Buffalo, which could go a long way in winning the AFC East for this team. The rematch is in New England in Week 15 after the Patriots have this bye week to prepare for it too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, the Bills have been rough this year despite the 8-4 record. We noted the turnover regression earlier, and Josh Allen is only ranked <a href=\"https:\/\/www.espn.com\/nfl\/qbr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">13th in QBR<\/a>, his worst season since 2019. We\u2019ve already seen the Bills lose as considerable favorites to the Patriots, Falcons, Dolphins, and Texans with some double-digit losses in there as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sean McDermott\u2019s defense has been hit or miss. Allen\u2019s weapons have either been injured or underwhelming as Keon Coleman has been a healthy scratch in games instead of stepping up in Year 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless the Bills can catch the Patriots in the division, it doesn\u2019t look like this team will be hosting any playoff games this year, the last at Highmark Stadium. Given the expectations that this could be their turn as the No. 1 seed, a wild card after instilling confidence in the Patriots would be a very bad result for this team not just in 2025 but going into next year and beyond.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Guess it wasn\u2019t so crazy when the Patriots were favored to win 11 games despite coming off a 4-13 season back when the schedule was released in May. We were right about the schedule helping out. Just seemed to have picked the wrong team that was going to take the biggest advantage from it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-baltimore-ravens-are-fumbling-the-moment\">The Baltimore Ravens Are Fumbling the Moment<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>If it wasn\u2019t Buffalo getting over the hump and getting to a Super Bowl, it was supposed to be Baltimore\u2019s year in 2025. Maybe they\u2019d finally stop losing the ball in January and get the job done with a great offense and a defense that could play better for the full season instead of a strong finish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the Ravens have been frustrating their fans since opening night when they blew a 15-point lead in the fourth quarter in Buffalo. Derrick Henry had a crucial fumble in the final 4:00, and he did it again against the Lions in a game where the Ravens were punched in the mouth at home. The Ravens also had their annual loss to the Chiefs, which Lamar Jackson left with a hamstring injury.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"735\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2186899315-1024x735.jpg\" alt=\"INGLEWOOD, CALIFORNIA - NOVEMBER 25: Derrick Henry #22 of the Baltimore Ravens dodges a tackle against Elijah Molden #22 of the Los Angeles Chargers during the third quarter in the game at SoFi Stadium on November 25, 2024 in Inglewood, California.\" class=\"wp-image-13827\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2186899315-1024x735.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2186899315-300x215.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2186899315-768x551.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2186899315-1536x1102.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2186899315-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"> (Photo by Ronald Martinez\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>They were the 32nd-ranked scoring defense early in the season, but started to turn that around at least. But the offense was a joke without Jackson, and signing Cooper Rush instead of going with a better fit in Tyler Huntley was a mistake. They could have won the Rams game with Huntley starting instead of Rush.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ever since Jackson returned, he hasn\u2019t looked right and has now gone three straight games without a touchdown pass, which is remarkable given he had a 34-game streak (including playoffs) with a touchdown before that. But he\u2019s clearly not right, and he played his worst game he\u2019s ever had against the Bengals on Thanksgiving, a 32-14 home loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Go figure, when the offense was hot, the defense was horrible. Now that the defense is good again, the offense has gone in the tank. That lack of complementary football is why coach John Harbaugh may not survive this season, especially if the Ravens blow the AFC North to Pittsburgh, who they still have to face twice, including this Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s quite possible the Ravens get a home playoff game as the No. 4 seed, but is there any trusting this team with the way they\u2019ve played all year? That wild card game could even be against No. 5 Buffalo, so that\u2019d be an interesting rematch from Week 1 and the playoffs last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But hoping the Steelers continue to struggle is Baltimore\u2019s best path to the playoffs. Given how this team has already lost to the Bills and Chiefs, don\u2019t be shocked if they lose to the Patriots and Packers too coming up. Don\u2019t be shocked if they\u2019re one-and-done as only a bad division race is going to help them qualify after a 1-5 start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-houston-texans-are-trying-to-lead-with-defense-to-recapture-afc-south-from-pesky-colts-jaguars\">The Houston Texans Are Trying to Lead with Defense to Recapture AFC South from Pesky Colts, Jaguars<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The AFC South race is something else as the Houston Texans were favored in the preseason to win it for the third year in a row. That\u2019s because we trusted C.J. Stroud as the best quarterback in the South, and DeMeco Ryans knows how to coach that defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, the defense has been elite since Week 1 and is getting even stronger with recent wins against the Bills and Colts. But the Texans were 0-3 because of how pathetic the offense was. Then they perked up against Baltimore\u2019s defense at the right time, but Stroud suffered a concussion and missed three weeks. They went 3-0 with Davis Mills, including an insane comeback from 19 down in the fourth quarter against Jacksonville.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That quarter has the Texans back in this race, along with the way they crushed Josh Allen (8 sacks) and held the Colts down in Indy on Sunday. But this is a legitimate three-way race, and you might have to say the Jaguars should be the favorites given their dominance at home against the Colts and remaining schedule.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Texans have to go to Arrowhead this Sunday night in what is effectively a playoff game. They lost there twice late in the season last year, and Patrick Mahomes should be in playoff mode here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, the Colts were the toast of the division for half a season with Daniel Jones reinventing himself with a great job of leading the No. 1 offense. But then the sacks started coming, then the turnovers in Pittsburgh, and now the Colts are 8-4, Jones has a fractured fibula, Sauce Gardner is out with an injury, and that remaining schedule is tough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2243532185-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA - OCTOBER 26: Daniel Jones #17 of the Indianapolis Colts warms up before the NFL 2025 game between Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on October 26, 2025 in Indianapolis, Indiana. \" class=\"wp-image-13828\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2243532185-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2243532185-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2243532185-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2243532185-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/GettyImages-2243532185-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(Photo by Michael Hickey\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If the Texans can get past the Chiefs in Arrowhead, they might just run this table and win the AFC South for a third year in a row despite the third-best odds (+340 at FanDuel) to do so right now. The Colts (+130) are slightly favored over the Jaguars (+140), but Sunday should go a long way in how this plays out as the Colts are in Jacksonville where they haven\u2019t won since Andrew Luck\u2019s early days over a decade ago, and we\u2019ll see if Houston can beat the Chiefs and stay alive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019d be on the Jaguars today, and yes, they can\u2019t be trusted in January one bit. But again, turnover regression on defense (9 takeaways last year and already 20 in 2025) and better coaching (rookie Liam Coen) can go a long way in this league of quick turnarounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-philadelphia-eagles-repeat-2023-or-2024-in-a-crowded-nfc\">The Philadelphia Eagles Repeat: 2023 or 2024 in a Crowded NFC?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Lest we forget, the Philadelphia Eagles are the defending champions and were a favorite to repeat this season. But the NFC is so stacked that the current No .7 seed (49ers are 9-4) have the same number of wins as the current No. 1 seed (Bears are 9-3). With respect to Bryce Young doing his game-winning drive thing for the 7-6 Panthers, let\u2019s quickly run down the top nine teams in the NFC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Chicago Bears (9-3):<\/strong> Again, coaching matters. Ben Johnson has helped the Bears become a more explosive offense, Caleb Williams has cut down his sacks, and he\u2019s delivered five game-winning drives in exactly the kind of games this team would lose under Matt Eberflus. The defense also has forced a league-high 26 takeaways, a staple in any good Chicago season in the 21st century. They may not be Super Bowl worthy this year, but Johnson has changed the culture in a hurry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Los Angeles Rams (9-3):<\/strong> I <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/rams-2025-nfl-season-preview\">hyped this team up in July<\/a> as Sean McVay\u2019s most balanced yet and the best bet to stop the Eagles from repeating. Matthew Stafford\u2019s back injury scared me away a little, but the Rams have played very well despite blowing three close games they easily could have won, including a blown 19-point lead in Philadelphia. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Davante Adams has delivered, and the run game and defense are strong around Stafford. They\u2019ll be a problem in the playoffs, but losses like Sunday in Carolina show they\u2019re still beatable. Also lost to Mac Jones and a battered San Francisco team. Only two Super Bowl winners have ever lost multiple games as a 9-point favorite in the last 50 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Philadelphia Eagles (8-4): <\/strong>Offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo may be the most hated ma in Philly as he\u2019s done a bad job replacing Kellen Moore. The Eagles were favored because of their elite offense and Vic Fangio\u2019s defense, but injuries hurt the offensive line and secondary. Saquon Barkley is having a terrible year after rushing for 2,000 yards, they don\u2019t use A.J. Brown properly, and Jalen Hurts is not consistent enough. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They also disappear for whole halves at a time, and they go three-and-out at an insane rate. It\u2019s hard to see this team finishing in the playoffs. They\u2019ll be lucky not to repeat 2023 and blow the division again to Dallas as no one\u2019s repeated in the NFC East since 2004.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5):<\/strong> Baker Mayfield got some early MVP buzz for his game-winning drives, but the Buccaneers are 2-4 since a 5-1 start as injuries have piled up. They\u2019ve gotten some skill players back around Mayfield like Bucky Irving and Chris Godwin, but assuming they hold off the Panthers in the NFC South, it\u2019s hard to see this team advancing past the wild card. A close divisional round loss (like 2023) is their ceiling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Seattle Seahawks (9-3):<\/strong> A very intriguing team with a great defense and the Sam Darnold connection with Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been fantastic. Alas, Darnold in big games is the issue, and we\u2019ve seen it already as he had big turnovers in losses to the 49ers, Bucs, and four picks against the Rams in the biggest game of the year so far. That\u2019s the fear every time with him, but this team has a lot of the right stuff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Green Bay Packers (8-3-1):<\/strong> My preseason Super Bowl pick, the Packers have swept the Lions after getting swept by them last year. Losing tight end Tucker Kraft (ACL) is a huge loss, but Micah Parsons has been great, Jordan Love is killing it on third-and-long, and Matt LaFleur is one of the best coaches. They have a real shot to unseat Chicago here this week and go on to a very high seed and get this done in January. But you do worry about the offense lacking trustworthy skill players as that\u2019s been their downfall in low-scoring losses already.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>San Francisco 49ers (9-4): <\/strong>It\u2019s incredible how Christian McCaffrey has remained healthy on a ton of touches while so many other 49ers are on the injury report. Unfortunately, losing Nick Bosa and Fred Warner for the year makes it hard to trust the defense to get the team home for the Super Bowl in February. Watching Brock Purdy against Carolina is why you get nervous trusting him too. But they have experience beating the Rams (this year included) and the Eagles, so you can\u2019t say there\u2019s no chance if they get into the tournament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Detroit Lions (7-5):<\/strong> Yep, the 15-2 team would be out of the playoffs if they started today. It was always going to be tough replacing both coordinators, and when you look at how Detroit struggled to run in Philadelphia while Ben Johnson\u2019s Bears dominated the same defense a few weeks later, it just makes you think about that coaching change shifting the power in the NFC North. Also, a bad time for an Amon-Ra St. Brown injury with Dallas up next. Should be worried about Detroit for the postseason right now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Dallas Cowboys (6-5-1):<\/strong> It would be one hell of a story if Dallas came back to make the playoffs and go on a deep run after trading away Micah Parsons and losing teammate Marshawn Kneeland to suicide. That seems to have rallied the team together, and Dak Prescott is thriving in Brian Schottenheimer\u2019s offense with George Pickens in town. Throw in some traded parts on defense that are stepping up, and maybe this team can run the table. But it starts with a tough one in Detroit this Thursday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s a real \u201cchoose your fighter\u201d vibe here as you can make the case for and against every team. The Rams probably offer the most complete team with great weapons, top defense, and a coach and quarterback who have done it before together. But I still believe it can be Green Bay\u2019s year too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What\u2019s looking increasingly likely each week is that the Eagles are not ready for a repeat. Nick Sirianni\u2019s biggest knock is he can\u2019t get it done with a nobody at coordinator. He\u2019ll have to hire someone much better for 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-widget-type=\"predictions\" data-entity-type=\"game\" data-widget-id=\"0.fqufjje8bh\" data-lang=\"en-US\" data-entity-id=\"4427666\" data-publisher-id=\"125\" data-live-mode=\"true\" data-hide-powered-by=\"true\"><\/div>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/widgets.365scores.com\/main.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"conclusion-what-does-it-all-lead-to\">Conclusion: What Does It All Lead to?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Again, almost nothing has been clinched yet as even the Browns (3-9) and Commanders (3-9) are technically still alive for the postseason. But this 2025 season certainly has a chance to lead to some huge shake-ups and overreactions around the league as we could see some of these long-time coaches get fired after disappointing results, and it could lead to some shaky 2026 predictions if people buy into the wrong teams and learn the wrong lessons from this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you see a team this year beating up on a weak schedule, chances are that won\u2019t be the case in 2026 where they\u2019ll face a first-place schedule and three likely tougher games. If you see a good team losing a lot of close games this year, you can probably bet on them to do better in 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But we are maybe seeing some evidence that a rookie quarterback contract is a huge advantage as teams like the Bears, Patriots, and Broncos are winning big behind second-year quarterbacks on rosters who aren\u2019t paying a fortune to just a few players like the quarterback, his favorite receiver (or two), and an edge rusher or left tackle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s why you have to strike now if you\u2019re one of those teams as it gets a lot harder to win when just a few players are taking up a huge percentage of your cap. But writing off the Chiefs, Ravens, and Bills for the long-term in the AFC in favor of the Patriots, Broncos, and Colts would likely be foolish. Indianapolis is already starting to crack after spending half a season as the No. 1 offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then in the NFC, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/lions-2025-nfl-season-preview\">Five-Year Rule<\/a> may be in effect for Detroit with Dan Campbell and Jared Goff, and their best shot was likely the 2023 NFC Championship Game. But I wouldn\u2019t write off Philadelphia either even if this season ends in a disastrous finish much like 2023 did. They just need to hire a better offensive coordinator like they did when they got Kellen Moore for that year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Coaching matters. The salary cap is real. Success is often fleeting at best in this league. Enjoy it while it lasts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It should be a wild finish to February\u2019s Super Bowl in San Francisco, but I don\u2019t think 2025 will go down as a changing of the guard season. Not unless you\u2019re going to show me a Broncos vs. Patriots AFC Championship Game with the winner taking on Ben Johnson\u2019s Bears after they slay the Packers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Then we can revisit this new NFL landscape, but even for the world\u2019s greatest soap opera, that might be too much dramatic change at once.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-13\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 13: Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott Set for Big Thanksgiving Showdown<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-12-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 12<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-12\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 12: The Chiefs Are Failing Patrick Mahomes in a Down Year for Quarterback Play<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-11-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 11<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-11\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 11: Preparing for the Epic Sam Darnold vs. Matthew Stafford Showdown<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-10-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 10<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-10\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 10: Lamar Jackson Makes Triumphant Return as Indiana Jones Turns into a Pumpkin<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-9-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 9<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-award-races-midpoint-mvp\">2025 NFL Award Races: Why Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen Is Not the Game to Decide MVP, and the Daniel Jones Double Standard<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-9\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 9: Jordan Love Steals the Shine from Aaron Rodgers\u2019 Night in Pittsburgh<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-8-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 8<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-8\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 8: Patrick Mahomes Breaks PFF\u2019s Grading System and Daniel Jones Joins Elite Company<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-7-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 7<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-7\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 7: We Need to Talk About Josh Allen and the Disappointing Buffalo Bills<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-6-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 6<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-6\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 6: The Mayfield-Darnold Passing Clinic and Every Great AFC Quarterback\u2019s Team Takes a Loss<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-5-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 5<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-award-races-week-5\">2025 NFL Award Races Through the First Quarter: Are We Headed Towards Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes for MVP?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-5\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 5: Patrick Mahomes Outduels Lamar Jackson Again and the Wild Start to the Jaxson Dart Era<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-4-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 4<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-4\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 4: Lamar Jackson Sacked, Baker Mayfield\u2019s Wild Run, and Is This the End for Russell Wilson?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-3-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 3<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/patrick-mahomes-turns-30-best-there-is\">Patrick Mahomes Turns 30: The Best There Is, the Best There Was, the Best There Ever Will Be?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-3\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 3: Injuries Are Sadly Piling Up Quickly to Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, J.J. McCarthy<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-2-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 2<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-2\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 2: If Your QB Isn\u2019t a Demon, You\u2019re Not Winning the AFC <\/a>&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-1-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 1<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-predictions-super-bowl-lx\">2025 NFL Predictions: Who Makes It to Super Bowl LX?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-award-best-bets\">2025 NFL Award Nominees and Best Bets: Can We Get a Good and Logical MVP Race?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/eagles-2025-nfl-season-preview\">Philadelphia Eagles 2025 NFL Season Preview and Picks: Did Philly Crush One Great Dynasty to Start Its Own?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/chiefs-2025-nfl-season-preview\">Kansas City Chiefs 2025 NFL Season Preview and Picks: Time to Reinvent the Offense Again<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2025 NFL season has moved into December, and it has been a wild 13 weeks with plenty of surprises from Super Bowl contenders struggling to some new blood in the AFC trying to turn the clock back a decade when the Patriots, Colts, and Broncos were among the most relevant teams. That\u2019s a notable &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":716,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[421,1473,1537,3049,347,351,439,516,409,343,52,1037,980,47,1454,398,444,350,1506,1521,1044,48,356,1707],"class_list":["post-13794","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-afc-east","tag-afc-south","tag-afc-west","tag-ben-johnson","tag-bills","tag-broncos","tag-chiefs","tag-colts","tag-cowboys","tag-josh-allen","tag-matthew-stafford","tag-mvp","tag-nfc","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-schedule","tag-packers","tag-patrick-mahomes","tag-ravens","tag-san-francisco","tag-sean-mcvay","tag-sean-payton","tag-super-bowl","tag-texans","tag-week-13","article_type-discover","article_type-news","entity_type-competitor","inspiration-365s-articles","inspiration-planned"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13794","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13794"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13794\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13829,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13794\/revisions\/13829"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/716"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13794"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13794"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13794"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}