{"id":13422,"date":"2025-11-20T06:56:07","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T06:56:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/?p=13422"},"modified":"2025-11-20T06:56:11","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T06:56:11","slug":"scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-12-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-12-2025","title":{"rendered":"Scott&#8217;s Seven NFL Picks: Week 12"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\">NFL<\/a> has put together another really solid schedule for Week 12, and since we\u2019re posting a day early this week, we might as well tackle the Thursday night game between the Texans and Bills. But we\u2019ll also have NFL picks for Steelers-Bears, Shedeur Sanders\u2019 first start in Las Vegas, and maybe the AFC Game of the Year by impact between the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/indianapolis-colts-6664\">Colts<\/a> and Chiefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In recapping our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-11-2025\">Week 11 picks<\/a>, I really wasted a 10-5 ATS week to back the Chargers (-3) in Jacksonville (35-6). Woof. But the Josh Allen passing script worked well in Buffalo, and the pick parade (J.J. McCarthy and Jameis Winston) happened for multiple +145 wins. Might have hit the Unc Bowl parlay if Aaron Rodgers didn\u2019t get hurt, but Sam Darnold crapped his pants in LA and the Lions-Eagles parlay was completely wrong save for Jalen Hurts\u2019 rushing yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Each Friday, we will share seven NFL picks for the weekend. These can be prop picks, spreads, totals, alternate lines, moneylines, teasers, same game parlays, etc. We like to think outside the box instead of just telling you to play the moneyline of big favorites. <strong>You can play any of the picks as singles or parlay your favorite choices together.<\/strong> I <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ScottKacsmar\/status\/1962277188087996848\">do tweet winners<\/a> from time to time before island games kick off, by the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Picks are ranked in order of confidence (highest to lowest).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-rank-math-toc-block\" id=\"rank-math-toc\"><h2>Table of Contents<\/h2><nav><ul><li><a href=\"#1-giants-at-lions-dan-campbell-after-a-loss\">1. Giants at Lions: Dan Campbell After a Loss<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#2-bills-at-texans-the-9-for-30-revenge-game\">2. Bills at Texans: The 9-for-30 Revenge Game<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#3-steelers-at-bears-aaron-rodgers-one-more-time\">3. Steelers at Bears: Aaron Rodgers One More Time?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#4-browns-at-raiders-shedeur-sanders-by-the-script\">4. Browns at Raiders: Shedeur Sanders By the Script<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#5-jets-at-ravens-lamar-jacksons-bounce-back-game\">5. Jets at Ravens: Lamar Jackson\u2019s Bounce-Back Game<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#6-colts-at-chiefs-the-af-cs-most-pivotal-game-in-2025\">6. Colts at Chiefs: The AFC\u2019s Most Pivotal Game in 2025?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#7-best-of-the-rest-nfl-week-12-parlay\">7. Best of the Rest NFL Week 12 Parlay<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"1-giants-at-lions-dan-campbell-after-a-loss\">1. Giants at Lions: Dan Campbell After a Loss<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the best streaks in the NFL has been Dan Campbell\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/detroit-lions-6663\">Lions<\/a> going 13-0 ATS\/SU after a loss since 2022. They\u2019ve had to do it a few times already this year, and here they are again at home as a 10.5-point favorite against the lowly Giants. It is unclear if Jameis Winston will start, or if rookie Jaxson Dart will return.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But instead of going with the spread streak to continue, I\u2019m looking more at that Detroit offense bouncing back at home in the comfy dome after one of Jared Goff\u2019s worst career games where he was 14-of-37 passing and the Lions scored 9 points on 12 drives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If Dart is playing, don\u2019t be surprised if that spread gets covered here as he\u2019s been quite competitive for the Giants. But with a team total of 30.5 points, I love the Lions to score over that against a really horrible defense that\u2019s allowed 4 teams already to drop 33+ points this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Lions may not cover again, but I trust the offense to go over 30.5 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Lions Over 30.5 Points (-115) at FanDuel<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-1942958530-1-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\" Head coach Dan Campbell of the Detroit Lions\" class=\"wp-image-13428\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-1942958530-1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-1942958530-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-1942958530-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-1942958530-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-1942958530-1-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"> (Photo by Nic Antaya\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"2-bills-at-texans-the-9-for-30-revenge-game\">2. Bills at Texans: The 9-for-30 Revenge Game<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We might as well get our say on Thursday night for a change. The Bills are a 5.5-point road favorite in Houston, the top scoring defense this year. Last year, Josh Allen completed just 9-of-30 passes for a career-low 30% completion percentage. His last three incompletions burned such little clock that the Texans got the ball back in great field position and kicked a walk-off field goal to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/boxscores\/202410060htx.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">win 23-20<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/buffalo-bills-6657\">Bills<\/a> can get their revenge here, though it is a tough defense to score against, and Allen could still be missing some top weapons like Dalton Kincaid and maybe Josh Palmer. He needs to lean more on James Cook this week, who had a tough matchup with Tampa on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the Texans are not getting C.J. Stroud (concussion) back at quarterback yet since it\u2019s such a short week. That means a third-straight start for Davis Mills, who has thrown the ball over 40 times for over 270 yards in consecutive games with a game-winning drive against the Jaguars and Titans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But those are division games. This is Buffalo, and the key to beating Buffalo this year is running the ball very well. The Texans simply can\u2019t do that with Woody Marks and company, which is why Mills has thrown it so much. Don\u2019t be surprised if they try to run early and abandon it even though Buffalo is better against the pass and have made Patrick Mahomes and Baker Mayfield look rough the last two weeks with Sean McDermott taking over the defensive calls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That 23-20 score sounds decent again even if the Bills are a 5.5-point favorite. But I\u2019m ignoring the spread and going with the Bills to get the win while the under 43.5 points wins for a combo pick this Thursday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Bills ML &amp; Under 43.5 Points (+150) at FanDuel<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-widget-type=\"predictions\" data-entity-type=\"game\" data-widget-id=\"0.415tn7fkqh2\" data-lang=\"en-US\" data-entity-id=\"4427638\" data-publisher-id=\"125\" data-live-mode=\"true\" data-hide-powered-by=\"true\"><\/div>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/widgets.365scores.com\/main.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"3-steelers-at-bears-aaron-rodgers-one-more-time\">3. Steelers at Bears: Aaron Rodgers One More Time?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We know <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/aaron-rodgers-93928\">Aaron Rodgers<\/a> has \u201cowned\u201d the Chicago Bears in his career with a 24-5 record, and he left one of those losses early with an injury. He\u2019d love nothing more than to get one more win against this team in a year they\u2019re doing well at 7-3 and the Steelers (6-4) are in the thick of a division title chase with Baltimore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Rodgers injured his wrist on Sunday and left the game for the second half. His status is questionable, though some feel like he\u2019s leaning towards playing as the wrist isn\u2019t on his throwing hand and he doesn\u2019t need surgery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But while it might be a risky game to bet now without knowing who the quarterback will be, I can\u2019t help but picture this as a close slugfest between two teams at the top of the NFL in defensive takeaways and who have usually tried to win close games when they\u2019re having good years. The Bears just had their fifth fourth-quarter comeback of the season last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Between the turnovers, Rodgers\u2019 health, and the pass rush likely making Caleb Williams dance around all day, it just feels like a low-scoring battle in the outdoor November weather that should be decided either way by 1-10 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And that\u2019s my pick. Each team\u2019s alternate spread by +10.5 points and the under 44.5 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Steelers +10.5 &amp; Bears +10.5 &amp; Under 44.5 Points (+165 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"4-browns-at-raiders-shedeur-sanders-by-the-script\">4. Browns at Raiders: Shedeur Sanders By the Script<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s probably fitting that Cleveland quarterback <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/shedeur-sanders-140032\">Shedeur Sanders<\/a> will make his first NFL start in Las Vegas. It\u2019s the place many, me included, thought he\u2019d end up in the draft. Maybe in the first round, certainly more likely in the second or third, and shockingly not even in the third, fourth, or fifth before Cleveland finally broke down and drafted him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But he has a long way to go to become an effective player, and the odds are stacked heavily against him ever doing so. I also think he\u2019s a sack machine, and if you can find that special before gameday where you can bet on the Raiders to get 5+ sacks in this game, I\u2019d jump all over that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But for now, I\u2019m going with Maxx Crosby to record a sack and for the Raiders to win this game as a 3.5-point home favorite. The Raiders have played horrible football for much of this year, but they did beat the Patriots in Week 1, they handled a poor Tennessee team too, and they were in a 10-7 game with Denver in Denver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Browns could certainly get to Geno Smith, which is why I\u2019d also throw a Myles Garrett sack into the mix if you can get the odds for that before Sunday. But I trust Geno more than Shedeur, and I\u2019ll take Pete Carroll\u2019s team to get the win here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Maxx Crosby to Record a Sack &amp; Raiders ML (odds TBD at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"5-jets-at-ravens-lamar-jacksons-bounce-back-game\">5. Jets at Ravens: Lamar Jackson\u2019s Bounce-Back Game<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>For the first time in his NFL career, Lamar Jackson didn\u2019t throw a touchdown pass and was intercepted multiple times against Cleveland. But I think he\u2019ll bounce back against a poor Jets defense that does manage yards better than points, which is why I like the idea of Lamar throwing multiple touchdowns without even throwing for over 207.5 yards, something he\u2019s done twice this year already.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I also will take the alternate spread of Ravens -6.5 just to avoid any backdoor cover as they are known to struggle with big leads. But this game shouldn\u2019t be that difficult for them as they look to get a winning record (6-5) for the first time this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns &amp; Lamar Jackson Under 207.5 Passing Yards &amp; Ravens -6.5 (+335 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-2235702909-1-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - SEPTEMBER 14: Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens looks to pass during an NFL football game against the Cleveland Browns at M&amp;T Bank Stadium on September 14, 2025 in Baltimore, Maryland. \" class=\"wp-image-13429\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-2235702909-1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-2235702909-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-2235702909-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-2235702909-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/GettyImages-2235702909-1-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(Photo by Michael Owens\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"6-colts-at-chiefs-the-af-cs-most-pivotal-game-in-2025\">6. Colts at Chiefs: The AFC\u2019s Most Pivotal Game in 2025?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We might be looking at the AFC\u2019s most pivotal game of the season on Sunday in Kansas City. It could either be the day the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/kansas-city-chiefs-6764\">Chiefs<\/a> (5-5) got their season on track, or the day it died as they stumbled to a losing record this late in the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Somewhat surprisingly, the Colts are a 3.5-point road underdog despite coming off a bye week at 8-2 with the best offense in the league, and they\u2019re getting Charvarius Ward back at corner, and they had time for Sauce Gardner to learn the defense. They also play a lot of man coverage, which the Chiefs have struggled with, and they have defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo, who has been a thorn in Patrick Mahomes\u2019 side going back to those battles with Cincinnati in 2021-24.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Anarumo is one of the few who have shut down Mahomes in crunch time, and even some of Mahomes\u2019 wins against him needed penalties on the final drive to help the Chiefs get a game-winning field goal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Sunday, Denver coach Sean Payton referred to the Chiefs as a first-half team, which is with merit as they are 0-5 at game-winning drive opportunities and 0-5 in close games this year after ripping off 17 straight wins (NFL record) in such games in 2023-24.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s why we\u2019re going to start our 5-leg parlay with an alternate first half total of over 23.5 points. Think 14-10 at halftime as both offenses, which rank No. 1 and No. 2 in yards per drive, should come out strong and want to make statements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Here\u2019s the full 5-leg parlay:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>First Half Over 23.5 Points<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Travis Kelce Over 51.5 Receiving Yards<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Alec Pierce Over 54.5 Receiving Yards<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Colts +10.5<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The Colts allow over 72 receiving yards per game to tight ends, the second most in the NFL this year, so look for Travis Kelce to have a big game at home as he seems like the only receiver Mahomes truly trusts at this point. He\u2019s also been playing very well since Week 3. Then with Mahomes only throwing one touchdown in the last two games combined, look for him to answer at home with multiple touchdown tosses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You might not know Alec Pierce as a household name, but he\u2019s been a beast this year with over 54.5 yards in 6-of-8 games as he\u2019s a great deep threat and averages 11.3 yards per target. He\u2019s in great shape to beat the Chiefs\u2019 defense on a deep play-action target as they\u2019ve been getting killed on play-action this year per stats from NFL Pro:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Chiefs\u2019 defense allows a league-worst 10.8 yards per attempt on play-action passes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Chiefs have a league-worst 1.4% sack rate on play-action passes and rank 31st in pressure rate (22.9%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Chiefs rank No. 2 in EPA\/pass on plays that don\u2019t have play-action.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Daniel Jones leads the NFL with 1,017 passing yards on play-action passes, so it is something he\u2019s very used to doing this year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Then there\u2019s the Jonathan Taylor angle. He\u2019s been so dominant this year and had almost 300 yards from scrimmage against the Falcons. The Chiefs usually hold up well against the running game and the top backs. If you remember, the only thing they did well in Super Bowl 59 was shut down Saquon Barkley.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But this year has been a mixed bag for the Chiefs\u2019 run defense:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Chiefs let Barkley rush for 88 yards, which is actually one of the best games for the 2025 version of Saquon.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They held Derrick Henry (42 yards) in check, but backup Justice Hill burned them for 76 yards on mostly a long touchdown run with the game in the bag.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>They held Jahmyr Gibbs in check with 65 yards on 17 carries.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cam Skattebo had 10 carries for 60 yards just as he was on the verge of breaking out for the Giants.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Buffalo\u2019s James Cook rushed for 114 yards, snapping a nice streak of no 100-yard rushers for the Chiefs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The betting line for Taylor is 90.5 yards in this game, so I\u2019m not touching that one. He\u2019s certainly explosive enough to get most of that on one play, but I think if you\u2019re the Chiefs, you have to prioritize getting pressure on Jones, who has been sacked 15 times in the last three games and 12 times in the last two games. He was only sacked 7 times the first 7 games, so that\u2019s probably the game on defense if they can pressure Jones into mistakes or not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But then you get into this issue of the Chiefs likely having to beat man coverage from a coordinator who usually does well against them. The Colts have at least one takeaway on defense in every game this season. They could use Sauce Gardner on Rashee Rice to take him away, and maybe the Chiefs actually luck out if Xavier Worthy\u2019s knee injury were to keep him out of action so they could use Tyquan Thornton and Hollywood Brown more, who have more productive numbers in this offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Throw in the weird hex the Colts seem to hold over the Chiefs for the last 30 years, including the 1995 playoff loss (Lin Elliott game), the no punt playoff game at Arrowhead in 2003, Andy Reid blowing a 38-10 playoff lead to Andrew Luck in the 2013 wild card, the 19-13 game in 2019, and Chris Jones getting flagged for saying a bad word in 2022 in a loss in Indy, and I\u2019m staying away from picking a winner on this one as both teams really need this game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs need it to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Colts need it to show they are the team to beat in the AFC after hearing the Patriots and Broncos get the love during their bye week. They\u2019re 8-2 as well and have a chance to really lower some Arrowhead aura by walking in there and getting a win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s why my last leg is for the Colts +10.5 alternate spread to hit as the team either wins outright or doesn\u2019t lose by more than 10. Maybe the Chiefs even win a one-score game for a change, which would probably be for the best. Another blowout would just keep those questions in focus if they can close or not this year as they\u2019ve been pretty anti-clutch after being one of the most clutch teams ever in 2024 in close games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Really looking forward to this one and wish it was a 4:25 game instead of buried at the 1 PM slate and regional coverage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 5 Legs (+716 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-widget-type=\"predictions\" data-entity-type=\"game\" data-widget-id=\"0.q9u163egkbg\" data-lang=\"en-US\" data-entity-id=\"4427640\" data-publisher-id=\"125\" data-live-mode=\"true\" data-hide-powered-by=\"true\"><\/div>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/widgets.365scores.com\/main.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"7-best-of-the-rest-nfl-week-12-parlay\">7. Best of the Rest NFL Week 12 Parlay<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, we have a 4-leg parlay that is really just the final picks we have left over that didn\u2019t fit in above. I guess if there was a theme to these picks, it\u2019d be NFC team dominance for 2025 shining through. Mix and match as you see fit with above.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Seahawks -7.5 1st Half Spread at Titans (+105):<\/strong> Tough game to judge since the final projected score is about 27-13 or 27-14 Seattle, so I think the safest pick is to take Seattle to lead by at least 8 points at halftime with the first-half spread. We\u2019ve seen them blow the doors off teams by halftime like the Saints, Commanders, and Cardinals. Tennessee shouldn\u2019t score much in this game and Sam Darnold will bounce back after a pick parade in LA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Packers -6.5 vs. Vikings (-110):<\/strong> The Vikings swept the Packers last year but J.J. McCarthy doesn\u2019t appear to be any match for this defense, led by Micah Parsons. I think he struggles on the road, and I like Jordan Love to have a complete game as the Packers finally cover one of these big spreads that they haven\u2019t gotten all year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Eagles -3.5 vs. Cowboys (+100):<\/strong> A rematch from opening night, that weird game where Jalen Carte was ejected for spitting at Dak Prescott before the first snap from scrimmage. Then there was just a field goal scored in the second half as Philadelphia won 24-20. Well, with the way the Eagles have defended the Packers and Lions the last two weeks, I\u2019m not betting against that defense right now. I think the offense comes to life against the Cowboys, and they find another way to cover the spread and beat Dallas to inch even closer to ending that long drought (since 2004) of no team repeating as NFC East champions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Matthew Stafford Over 247.5 Passing Yards (-114 at FanDuel):<\/strong> For Sunday Night Football, it could be a good one between the Rams and Buccaneers. But Sean McVay\u2019s MO over the years against Todd Bowles\u2019 defense is to throw the ball, and that\u2019s even more obvious when they are playing the run as well as they have this year. That\u2019s why I love the over for Matthew Stafford in passing yards after a quiet game last week against Seattle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: 4-Leg Parlay (+1369 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-12\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 12: The Chiefs Are Failing Patrick Mahomes in a Down Year for Quarterback Play<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-11-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 11<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-11\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 11: Preparing for the Epic Sam Darnold vs. Matthew Stafford Showdown<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-10-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 10<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-10\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 10: Lamar Jackson Makes Triumphant Return as Indiana Jones Turns into a Pumpkin<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-9-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 9<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-award-races-midpoint-mvp\">2025 NFL Award Races: Why Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen Is Not the Game to Decide MVP, and the Daniel Jones Double Standard<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-9\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 9: Jordan Love Steals the Shine from Aaron Rodgers\u2019 Night in Pittsburgh<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-8-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 8<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-8\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 8: Patrick Mahomes Breaks PFF\u2019s Grading System and Daniel Jones Joins Elite Company<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-7-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 7<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-7\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 7: We Need to Talk About Josh Allen and the Disappointing Buffalo Bills<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-6-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 6<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-6\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 6: The Mayfield-Darnold Passing Clinic and Every Great AFC Quarterback\u2019s Team Takes a Loss<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-5-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 5<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-award-races-week-5\">2025 NFL Award Races Through the First Quarter: Are We Headed Towards Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes for MVP?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-5\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 5: Patrick Mahomes Outduels Lamar Jackson Again and the Wild Start to the Jaxson Dart Era<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-4-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 4<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-4\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 4: Lamar Jackson Sacked, Baker Mayfield\u2019s Wild Run, and Is This the End for Russell Wilson?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-3-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 3<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/patrick-mahomes-turns-30-best-there-is\">Patrick Mahomes Turns 30: The Best There Is, the Best There Was, the Best There Ever Will Be?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-3\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 3: Injuries Are Sadly Piling Up Quickly to Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, J.J. McCarthy<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-2-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 2<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-2\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 2: If Your QB Isn\u2019t a Demon, You\u2019re Not Winning the AFC <\/a>&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-1-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 1<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-predictions-super-bowl-lx\">2025 NFL Predictions: Who Makes It to Super Bowl LX?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-award-best-bets\">2025 NFL Award Nominees and Best Bets: Can We Get a Good and Logical MVP Race?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/eagles-2025-nfl-season-preview\">Philadelphia Eagles 2025 NFL Season Preview and Picks: Did Philly Crush One Great Dynasty to Start Its Own?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/chiefs-2025-nfl-season-preview\">Kansas City Chiefs 2025 NFL Season Preview and Picks: Time to Reinvent the Offense Again<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NFL has put together another really solid schedule for Week 12, and since we\u2019re posting a day early this week, we might as well tackle the Thursday night game between the Texans and Bills. But we\u2019ll also have NFL picks for Steelers-Bears, Shedeur Sanders\u2019 first start in Las Vegas, and maybe the AFC Game &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":13430,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_title":"","rank_math_description":"Our Week 12 NFL picks look at the Colts vs. Chiefs showdown, Shedeur Sanders' first start in Vegas, and Aaron Rodgers possibly facing Chicago.","rank_math_canonical_url":"","rank_math_focus_keyword":"NFL,Week 12","rank_math_facebook_image":"","rank_math_robots":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[402,169,399,347,442,439,516,409,415,410,411,420,344,401,1536,47,444,349,350,531,1580,975,356,763,1683],"content-tags":[],"article_type":[3327,3329],"entity_type":[3334],"inspiration":[3337,3339],"class_list":["post-13422","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-aaron-rodgers","tag-afc","tag-bears","tag-bills","tag-browns","tag-chiefs","tag-colts","tag-cowboys","tag-daniel-jones","tag-eagles","tag-giants","tag-jets","tag-lamar-jackson","tag-lions","tag-maxx-crosby","tag-nfl","tag-patrick-mahomes","tag-raiders","tag-ravens","tag-seahawks","tag-shedeur-sanders","tag-steelers","tag-texans","tag-titans","tag-week-12","article_type-discover","article_type-news","entity_type-competition","inspiration-365s-articles","inspiration-planned"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13422","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13422"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13422\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13431,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13422\/revisions\/13431"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13430"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13422"},{"taxonomy":"content-tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/content-tags?post=13422"},{"taxonomy":"article_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/article_type?post=13422"},{"taxonomy":"entity_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/entity_type?post=13422"},{"taxonomy":"inspiration","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/inspiration?post=13422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}