{"id":13214,"date":"2025-11-15T04:59:44","date_gmt":"2025-11-15T04:59:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/?p=13214"},"modified":"2025-11-15T04:59:48","modified_gmt":"2025-11-15T04:59:48","slug":"scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-11-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-11-2025","title":{"rendered":"Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 11"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\">NFL<\/a> built up an incredible Sunday schedule, the best of the 2025 season, for Week 11. We have NFL picks for all the best games, including Bengals-Steelers, Bucs-Bills, Seahawks-Rams, Chiefs-Broncos, and Lions-Eagles. At least one of these games has to deliver something special.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In recapping our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-10-2025\">Week 10 picks<\/a>, at least the Bears-Giants both scored 20 points and the Colts came through in overtime for a couple of direct hits. But we were on the very wrong end (as most were) for Bills at Dolphins, J.J. McCarthy threw for more yards than I expected, and the Steelers messed up our parlay by losing big. The Eagles are also seemingly allergic to throwing to A.J. Brown this year, but at least Breece Hall scored and the Lions covered in Washington for some of our random picks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Each Friday, we will share seven NFL picks for the weekend. These can be prop picks, spreads, totals, alternate lines, moneylines, teasers, same game parlays, etc. We like to think outside the box instead of just telling you to play the moneyline of big favorites. <strong>You can play any of the picks as singles or parlay your favorite choices together.<\/strong> I <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ScottKacsmar\/status\/1962277188087996848\">do tweet winners<\/a> from time to time before island games kick off, by the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Note: Picks are ranked in order of confidence (highest to lowest).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-rank-math-toc-block\" id=\"rank-math-toc\"><h2>Table of Contents<\/h2><nav><ul><li><a href=\"#1-chargers-at-jaguars-can-we-avoid-any-chargering-in-florida\">1. Chargers at Jaguars: Can We Avoid Any Chargering in Florida?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#2-buccaneers-at-bills-getting-back-to-josh-allens-offense\">2. Buccaneers at Bills: Getting Back to Josh Allen\u2019s Offense<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#3-chiefs-at-broncos-the-biggest-game-of-patrick-mahomes-regular-season-career\">3. Chiefs at Broncos: The Biggest Game of Patrick Mahomes\u2019 Regular Season Career?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#4-bengals-at-steelers-unc-bowl-ii\">4. Bengals at Steelers: Unc Bowl II<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#5-j-j-pick-parade\">5. J&amp;J Pick Parade<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#6-seahawks-at-rams-nfc-game-of-the-year\">6. Seahawks at Rams: NFC Game of the Year?<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#7-lions-at-eagles-sunday-night-parlay\">7. Lions at Eagles: Sunday Night Parlay<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"1-chargers-at-jaguars-can-we-avoid-any-chargering-in-florida\">1. Chargers at Jaguars: Can We Avoid Any Chargering in Florida?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I know, it\u2019s probably a risk to take the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/los-angeles-chargers-6673\">Chargers<\/a> on the road without their starting tackles against a Jacksonville team that blew a 19-point lead in the fourth quarter to Davis Mills last week. Even though Justin Herbert got the ball out so fast against Pittsburgh, he still took 5 sacks in that game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But at the same time, the Chargers still won 25-10 because Jim Harbaugh is not the pushover at coach the team had before him. The Jaguars also have their own protection issues, Trevor Lawrence is generally bad if he can\u2019t get in an early rhythm, and the Chargers\u2019 defense had Aaron Rodgers playing one of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-11\">his worst games ever<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Jaguars are also down some receivers with Brian Thomas Jr. banged up, and rookie Travis Hunter is out for the season after LCL surgery. They traded for Jakobi Meyers but we\u2019ll see if Lawrence can build up chemistry in a hurry with him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sure, you don\u2019t love the Chargers returning to the scene of the crime when they blew a 27-0 lead in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pro-football-reference.com\/boxscores\/202301140jax.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2022 playoffs<\/a> in the wild card round. But that was a different team led by a much inferior coach. I believe in Harbaugh, and that\u2019s why I like the Chargers to cover on the road and get to 8-3 before they sit back and watch the Chiefs and Broncos battle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Chargers -3 (-105) at FanDuel<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-widget-type=\"predictions\" data-entity-type=\"game\" data-widget-id=\"0.g3kr5yxlgt5\" data-lang=\"en-US\" data-entity-id=\"4427625\" data-publisher-id=\"125\" data-live-mode=\"true\" data-hide-powered-by=\"true\"><\/div>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/widgets.365scores.com\/main.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"2-buccaneers-at-bills-getting-back-to-josh-allens-offense\">2. Buccaneers at Bills: Getting Back to Josh Allen\u2019s Offense<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bills have acknowledged, or at least offensive coordinator Joe Brady did, that they weren\u2019t throwing the ball early enough in Miami last week. That led to a shocking 30-13 upset loss, and we know the Bills rarely lose two in a row or lose at home period. They\u2019re a 5.5-point favorite against Tampa Bay this week, and the Bucs still may not get back their weapons like Bucky Irving and Chris Godwin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With Tampa\u2019s injuries, the offensive efficiency has really dropped off. The Bucs have gone from No. 1 on third down to No. 24 this year. They\u2019re also 24th in red zone touchdown rate after finishing 4th last year. At least with Buffalo\u2019s struggles, they\u2019re still No. 5 on third down and No. 7 in the red zone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m counting on last week to be a wake-up call for the Bills, who are 6-3 and now trail the 9-2 Patriots by several games for the AFC East crown. With Tampa Bay in particular, that\u2019s a defense built to throw the ball against this year. Their secondary is very suspect, but they have a great run defense thanks to the presence of Vita Vea up front.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s not to say James Cook is going to rush for 30 yards this week, but I\u2019d advise staying away from him having a big day (80+ yards). They need to get back to letting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/josh-allen-63292\">Josh Allen<\/a> control the game through the air, turnovers be damned, and get this offense back on track.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s why my pick for this game is for the Bills to win and for Josh Allen to go over 217.5 passing yards in the process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Bills ML &amp; Josh Allen Over 217.5 Passing Yards (+144 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/GettyImages-1672233834-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills\" class=\"wp-image-6363\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/GettyImages-1672233834-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/GettyImages-1672233834-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/GettyImages-1672233834-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/GettyImages-1672233834-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/GettyImages-1672233834-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">(Photo by Kevin Sabitus\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"3-chiefs-at-broncos-the-biggest-game-of-patrick-mahomes-regular-season-career\">3. Chiefs at Broncos: The Biggest Game of Patrick Mahomes\u2019 Regular Season Career?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Some are saying that Sunday in Denver is the biggest regular-season game in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/patrick-mahomes-63626\">Patrick Mahomes\u2019<\/a> career. There\u2019s some truth to that as the Chiefs have rarely been challenged this much in the division, and a loss here would send them to 5-5 and the Broncos to 9-2, so that would be an almost impossible deficit to overcome if the Chiefs want to win the AFC West for the 10th year in a row.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs are a 3.5-point road favorite in a game with a total of 44.5 points that may in fact be low scoring. It was a 16-14 game last year when the Chiefs played their starters against Denver, the fewest points the Chiefs have scored in a start with Mahomes since New Year\u2019s Eve in 2023. They also would have lost that game at Arrowhead if they didn\u2019t block a 35-yard field goal in the closing seconds, and Bo Nix played well as a rookie against Steve Spagnuolo\u2019s defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the Chiefs are coming off a bye week and are 6-1 in the regular season after those with Mahomes. The only loss was to the 2023 Eagles. But despite a 13-1 record against Denver, the Broncos have given Mahomes more trouble than most defenses over the years. He was held to 9 points in 2023 in a flu game loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, check the NFL injury report for this one. We know Denver corner Patrick Surtain II is out again, so that should be good news for the Chiefs\u2019 wide receivers, especially Rashee Rice. The Broncos could also be without J.K. Dobbins, their best running back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mahomes is going to have to get the ball out extra fast this week as Denver\u2019s pass rash has been unreal with 46 sacks in 10 games, a historic pace and 18 more than any other defense entering Week 11. That\u2019s not going to change without Surtain as they\u2019ll be aggressive in coming after Mahomes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the good news for Kansas City is it should have rookie left tackle Josh Simmons back after he just disappeared for personal reasons for the last month. Right tackle Jawaan Taylor has also been a full participant in practice, so it\u2019s looking good for Mahomes to have his starting tackles in Denver. We know this offense has lost some big games when multiple linemen were out, including both Super Bowl losses. They should avoid that situation against the league\u2019s best pass rush.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs are 0-4 in close games this year while the Broncos are 5-2 with four comeback wins in the fourth quarter. But the Broncos have also blown two fourth-quarter leads in their losses, and Mahomes has never lost five straight one-score games in his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I like the Chiefs to step up to the moment coming out of their bye week and win this game by 1-13 points on the road to keep the AFC West race alive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Chiefs win by 1-13 points (+115 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-widget-type=\"predictions\" data-entity-type=\"game\" data-widget-id=\"0.6zfcu5xr577\" data-lang=\"en-US\" data-entity-id=\"4427634\" data-publisher-id=\"125\" data-live-mode=\"true\" data-hide-powered-by=\"true\"><\/div>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/widgets.365scores.com\/main.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"4-bengals-at-steelers-unc-bowl-ii\">4. Bengals at Steelers: Unc Bowl II<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The infamous \u201cUnc Bowl\u201d between the oldest quarterbacks in the NFL, Joe Flacco and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/player\/aaron-rodgers-93928\">Aaron Rodgers<\/a>, was actually one of the season\u2019s best-played duels at the position in Week 7. The Bengals prevailed 33-31 despite four touchdown passes from Rodgers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now with the rematch in Pittsburgh, it does make me recall that the Bengals have been much better in Pittsburgh than they have been at home against the Steelers, and that\u2019s a trend that goes back over two decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, we have different people involved here with Rodgers, Flacco, and the Bengals defense may never have been worse during Zac Taylor\u2019s tenure than it is right now. Keep in mind it\u2019s a defense that is doubtful to have Trey Hendrickson and Shemar Stewart available for the pass rush due to injuries, so Rodgers may catch a break there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rodgers is coming off one of the worst games of his career, so you should expect him to bounce back with a much better effort against a truly terrible defense that couldn\u2019t guard any of his tight ends a month ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s hard to fathom the Steelers getting swept by Cincinnati as a 5.5- point favorite, especially with the Steelers (5-4) trying to hold off Baltimore in the AFC North race despite the odds heavily back in Baltimore\u2019s favor (-290) to win the division. The Steelers can\u2019t afford to drop winnable home games like this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s why I like Rodgers to throw a couple of touchdowns and get the win over Flacco and the Bengals this time. But Flacco will still throw for 200+ yards just because that\u2019s so easy for him to do in this offense with those receivers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Steelers ML &amp; Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns &amp; Joe Flacco 200+ Passing Yards (+147 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/GettyImages-2233391377-1-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA - AUGUST 21: Aaron Rodgers #8 of the Pittsburgh Steelers looks on from the sidelines during a NFL Preseason 2025 game against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on August 21, 2025 in Charlotte, North Carolina.\" class=\"wp-image-12643\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/GettyImages-2233391377-1-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/GettyImages-2233391377-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/GettyImages-2233391377-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/GettyImages-2233391377-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/GettyImages-2233391377-1-scaled.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"> (Photo by Logan Bowles\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"5-j-j-pick-parade\">5. J&amp;J Pick Parade<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>We have a 2-leg parlay for quarterbacks to throw interceptions this Sunday:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Jameis Winston 1+ Interception vs. Packers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>J.J. McCarthy 1+ Interception vs. Bears<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Because of Jaxson Dart\u2019s concussion, Jameis Winston is in line to start the first game since the team fired coach Brian Daboll on Monday. We know Winston can light it up, but he doesn\u2019t have a great receiving corps around him this week, and he\u2019s not as good at scrambling and using his legs like Dart does in this offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Winston\u2019s reputation for picks also precedes him. In fact, I haven\u2019t seen FanDuel offer lines for multiple interceptions like they have for Winston right now. They\u2019re tempting to take too, but we\u2019ll stick with Green Bay\u2019s pass rush causing at least one pick as the Packers try to get right after consecutive losses where the defense played well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As for J.J. McCarthy, he\u2019s a wild man with the football as you might expect from a quarterback with four career starts. But he\u2019s thrown a pick in all four games, and that includes a pick on opening night against these Bears, who are playing decent defense. McCarthy has also thrown 2 picks in each home game, so don\u2019t think the dome is going to protect him from doing that. He sometimes just lobs one up and that\u2019s to be expected of someone this inexperienced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Bears just better catch it when he does that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Parlay \u2013 Jameis Winston 1+ Interception &amp; J.J. McCarthy 1+ Interception (+145 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"6-seahawks-at-rams-nfc-game-of-the-year\">6. Seahawks at Rams: NFC Game of the Year?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Who would have imagined Seahawks at Rams in Week 11 might be the NFC Game of the Year? It\u2019s a huge one in the NFC West with both teams at 7-2 and both playing some of the best football in the league on both sides of the ball. We have a 3-leg parlay that is very much a case of \u201cbig-time players make big-time plays in big-time games\u201d:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown Scorer<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sam Daronld Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 100.5 Receiving Yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Call me a coward if you will, but the game is too close to call for a winner right now. But our parlay does slightly lean towards the Rams at home as we\u2019re looking for Davante Adams to score another touchdown. Puka Nacua is the top chains mover in this offense, but Adams is who Matthew Stafford looks for in the red zone on those short touchdown throws. He should get one here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But we expect Sam Darnold to play well against the defense that sacked him 9 times in the playoffs when he was with Minnesota. I don\u2019t see the Seahawks having much rushing success in this game, so it\u2019s going to be Darnold through the air, and that doesn\u2019t always mean Jaxon Smith-Njigba is on the receiving end of his scores. It could be a game where new acquisition Rashid Shaheed finds the end zone, but we\u2019ll just play it safe and take Darnold to throw multiple touchdowns against a defense that Geno Smith had multiple touchdowns against twice last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As for JSN, we will take him to go over 100 yards again. He\u2019s done it in 6-of-9 games played this year and that\u2019s even with Seattle having low passing volume in some of those games. He\u2019s just been that special in his connection with Darnold, and he also had 180 yards against the Rams in a game last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This should be a good one though.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown Scorer &amp; Sam Darnold Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns &amp; Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 100.5 Receiving Yards (+396 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div data-widget-type=\"predictions\" data-entity-type=\"game\" data-widget-id=\"0.k45xaie19c9\" data-lang=\"en-US\" data-entity-id=\"4427633\" data-publisher-id=\"125\" data-live-mode=\"true\" data-hide-powered-by=\"true\"><\/div>\n<script src=\"https:\/\/widgets.365scores.com\/main.js\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"7-lions-at-eagles-sunday-night-parlay\">7. Lions at Eagles: Sunday Night Parlay<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, for Sunday Night Football\u2019s big NFC showdown between the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/en-us\/a.-football\/team\/detroit-lions-6663\">Lions<\/a> and Eagles (-2.5), we have an 8-leg parlay that is almost +4000 odds:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Detroit Lions ML<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown Scorer<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 75.5 Receiving Yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jalen Hurts Over 203.5 Passing Yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>DeVonta Smith Over 57.5 Receiving Yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Saquon Barkley Under 70.5 Rushing Yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jalen Hurts 20+ Rushing Yards<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dallas Goedert 30+ Receiving Yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The first leg says a lot about the theme and logic behind our SGP here. The Lions always hear about how they don\u2019t beat the elite teams on the road away from the dome after losses to the Packers and Chiefs this year. But they did beat the Ravens with a great performance in prime time, and granted, the Ravens weren\u2019t playing good defense at the time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But what even are these 2025 Eagles? They\u2019re middle of the road in so many stats on both sides of the ball. They keep winning close games and they disappear for full halves at a time. They don\u2019t seem to get A.J. Brown involved unless you\u2019re playing man coverage a lot, a trap the Lions better avoid with their shorthanded secondary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But this is a game where I think the Lions show up big as these teams have the best records in the NFC the last two years, and yet we haven\u2019t seen them play each other since the 2022 season. Dan Campbell covers the spread two-thirds of the time as an underdog, and he was on fire as the offensive play-caller last week as the Lions scored on their first eight drives before running out the clock.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think Detroit takes this one on the road, and that means Jahmyr Gibbs finding the end zone as he often does. That means Amon-Ra St. Brown having a big night and going over in yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On defense, we said the Detroit secondary can give up plays and yards, and even someone like Marcus Mariota had some decent numbers in garbage time loss last year. Jalen Hurts is capable of stepping up when need be, and he wasn\u2019t needed much in Monday\u2019s 10-7 win at Green Bay. But I expect a vastly different game this week where he throws for over 203.5 passing yards while rushing for at least 20 yards as a scrambler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m just fading A.J. Brown altogether as I\u2019m tired of getting burned by him in 2025. Meanwhile, DeVonta Smith has taken over as the No. 1 receiver, so he should be good for over 57.5 yards in this one. We also like tight end Dallas Goedert as that third option to go over 30 yards, a conservative estimate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, Detroit is sound against the run, and Saquon Barkley has been held to 60 rushing yards in 7-of-9 games this year if you can believe it. By taking his under 70.5 rushing yards, we\u2019re just going for his new standard this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But we need Detroit to come up big for this one to work.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Scott\u2019s NFL Pick: Same Game Parlay \u2013 8 Legs (+3930 at FanDuel)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-11\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 11: Preparing for the Epic Sam Darnold vs. Matthew Stafford Showdown<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-10-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 10<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-10\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 10: Lamar Jackson Makes Triumphant Return as Indiana Jones Turns into a Pumpkin<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-9-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 9<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-award-races-midpoint-mvp\">2025 NFL Award Races: Why Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen Is Not the Game to Decide MVP, and the Daniel Jones Double Standard<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-9\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 9: Jordan Love Steals the Shine from Aaron Rodgers\u2019 Night in Pittsburgh<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-8-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 8<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-8\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 8: Patrick Mahomes Breaks PFF\u2019s Grading System and Daniel Jones Joins Elite Company<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-7-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 7<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-7\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 7: We Need to Talk About Josh Allen and the Disappointing Buffalo Bills<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-6-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 6<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-6\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 6: The Mayfield-Darnold Passing Clinic and Every Great AFC Quarterback\u2019s Team Takes a Loss<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-5-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 5<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-award-races-week-5\">2025 NFL Award Races Through the First Quarter: Are We Headed Towards Josh Allen vs. Patrick Mahomes for MVP?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-5\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 5: Patrick Mahomes Outduels Lamar Jackson Again and the Wild Start to the Jaxson Dart Era<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-4-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 4<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-4\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 4: Lamar Jackson Sacked, Baker Mayfield\u2019s Wild Run, and Is This the End for Russell Wilson?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-3-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 3<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/patrick-mahomes-turns-30-best-there-is\">Patrick Mahomes Turns 30: The Best There Is, the Best There Was, the Best There Ever Will Be?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-3\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 3: Injuries Are Sadly Piling Up Quickly to Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, J.J. McCarthy<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-2-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 2<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-quarterback-rankings-week-2\">2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings Week 2: If Your QB Isn\u2019t a Demon, You\u2019re Not Winning the AFC <\/a>&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/scotts-seven-nfl-picks-week-1-2025\">Scott\u2019s Seven NFL Picks: Week 1<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-predictions-super-bowl-lx\">2025 NFL Predictions: Who Makes It to Super Bowl LX?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/2025-nfl-award-best-bets\">2025 NFL Award Nominees and Best Bets: Can We Get a Good and Logical MVP Race?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/eagles-2025-nfl-season-preview\">Philadelphia Eagles 2025 NFL Season Preview and Picks: Did Philly Crush One Great Dynasty to Start Its Own?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/chiefs-2025-nfl-season-preview\">Kansas City Chiefs 2025 NFL Season Preview and Picks: Time to Reinvent the Offense Again<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The NFL built up an incredible Sunday schedule, the best of the 2025 season, for Week 11. We have NFL picks for all the best games, including Bengals-Steelers, Bucs-Bills, Seahawks-Rams, Chiefs-Broncos, and Lions-Eagles. At least one of these games has to deliver something special. In recapping our Week 10 picks, at least the Bears-Giants both &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":6375,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[402,405,519,347,351,443,439,608,1010,410,1941,417,2656,1144,1066,343,401,47,444,2371,531,975,1679],"class_list":["post-13214","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-aaron-rodgers","tag-amon-ra-st-brown","tag-bengals","tag-bills","tag-broncos","tag-chargers","tag-chiefs","tag-davante-adams","tag-devonta-smith","tag-eagles","tag-j-j-mccarthy","tag-jalen-hurts","tag-jameis-winston","tag-jaxon-smith-njigba","tag-joe-flacco","tag-josh-allen","tag-lions","tag-nfl","tag-patrick-mahomes","tag-sam-darnold","tag-seahawks","tag-steelers","tag-week-11","article_type-discover","article_type-news","entity_type-competition","inspiration-365s-articles","inspiration-planned"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13214","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13214"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13214\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13234,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13214\/revisions\/13234"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6375"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13214"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13214"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.365scores.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13214"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}